Complexity and Uncertainty
Evolution: Complexity, uncertainty and innovation
... case, usually people wish to hear clear statements that imply knowledge and certainty and find the actual uncertainty and risk much more disturbing. People will often pre- fer a lie that comforts to the ...
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Embracing complexity and uncertainty: An analysis of three orders of ELSA research on biobanks
... recognising complexity and uncertainty through reflexivity With the previous orders of ELSA research, many problems and concerns were identified, regulatory measures to control these issues were taken, and ...
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A New Contingency View of the Organization: Mananging Complexity and Uncertainty Through Cognition
... A BSTRACT This paper proposes a new contingency view of the organization and it contributes to the theme through two complementary perspectives. First, it proposes cognition as a function which acts as the main mediator ...
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Complexity and Uncertainty regarding Superannuation Do Not Explain Key Decisions Taken by Members
... The ability to understand superannuation products and make investment de- cisions has a direct impact on members’ future personal welfare. Earlier studies find that Australian investors are unable to distinguish ...
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(WP 2017-01) The Continuing Relevance of Keynes\u27s Philosophical Thinking: Reflexivity, Complexity, and Uncertainty
... Thus the philosophical discussion in the paper moves from reflexivity to complexity to uncertainty. Of these subjects, reflexivity is the relatively unexamined domain, at least in regard to Keynes’s ...
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Perceived Project Complexity in Terms of Uncertainty and RM in the Kingdom of Bahrain
... project complexity by which they can predict its ...project complexity, since the results was less than ...approach uncertainty and risk is ...
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Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations
... added complexity. Thus, adding complexity or using overly complex models at regional or global scales should be exercised with ...caution. Uncertainty analysis indicated that, in situations where ...
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The effect of input data resolution and complexity on the uncertainty of hydrological predictions in a humid vegetated watershed
... Abstract. Uncertainty in hydrological modeling is of signif- icant concern due to its effects on prediction and subsequent application in watershed ...model uncertainty is an issue in applying the Soil and ...
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Task complexity interacts with state-space uncertainty in the arbitration between model-based and model-free learning
... the uncertainty in the predictions of these controllers, appears to play a key role in underpinning the arbitration process between ...of complexity and state-space uncertainty, we have shown that ...
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Complexity and Uncertainty in Human and Ecological Risk Assessment
... The review that follows was commissioned by the HTPF to investigate the state of published scientific knowledge regarding potential risks to human health posed by emerging chemicals of[r] ...
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Making sense of science for policy under conditions of complexity and uncertainty
... ‘Procedural uncertainty’ relates to the procedural quality of the process of knowledge ...procedural uncertainty is highly dependent on the location in the knowledge cycle: ‘problem framing’, ‘knowledge ...
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Building resilient finance? Uncertainty, complexity, and resistance
... A number of interesting ideas about financial resilience are entailed within this sweep. First, it is interesting to note how Haldane’s point of reference for thinking about resilient systems is to emphasize their ...
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Complexity, uncertainty reduction strategies and project performance
... between complexity factors affecting a project and the selected planning-stage ...market complexity, which are both considered dynamic, together with high institutional complexity, which we deemed ...
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Computational Complexity of Capacity Planning Problems under Uncertainty
... TABLE 5 STATISTICS OF PROBLEMS SOLVED USING OUR FORMULATION VI. C ONCLUSION We have shown a technique for solving capacity planning problems under our intuitive uncertainty formulation, which is tractable. ...
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Modeling the Complexity of Breast Cancer under Conditions of Uncertainty
... The natural history of invasive breast cancer detected by screening mammography. Maillart LM, Ivy JS, Ransom S, and Diehl K[r] ...
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Taking Uncertainty Seriously: Simplicity versus Complexity in Financial Regulation
... versus complexity in the prediction of bank failure The previous section used a simulation environment to explore the conditions under which simple approaches for calculating capital requirements are likely to ...
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Complexity, Relatedness and Uncertainty in Contemporary Social Science: A Preliminary Reflection
... qualitative complexity “not only serves as a basis for demarcating the distinctive character of the social as an object of knowledge, but also allows for the reflexive, knowledge informed, reconstitution of the ...
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Cryptocurrency market contagion: market uncertainty, market complexity, and dynamic portfolios
... that complexity in the cryptocurrency market has markedly increased in recent ...of complexity in the cryptocurrency market (as captured by the connectedness approach) gradually increases given that ...
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Uncertainty + Complexity = Today s Reality... for Leaders in International Public Organisations
... Today’s organisational environment and reality is one of complexity and uncertainty. Hardly anywhere is this more present than for leaders in international public organisations. Gone are the days of ...
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Assigning a volcano alert level: Negotiating uncertainty, risk, and complexity in decision-making processes
... The decision to change an alert level requires interpretation, analysis, discussion and action within a tight timeframe depending on the speed of the volcanic activity. At AVO, an eruption can be detected suddenly, ...
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