Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing
Forecasting Annual International Tourist Arrivals in Zambia Using Holt Winters Exponential Smoothing
... Tourism is one of the major contributors to foreign exchange earnings to Zambia and world economy. Annual International tourist arrivals in Zambia from 1995 to 2014 are considered in this paper. In this study we ...
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Time series modelling for forecasting vehicular traffic flow in Dublin
... model, Holt Winters’ exponential smoothing model and the seasonal ARIMA model are used for the purpose of modeling and are compared in this ...
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Application of the Seasonal Holt-Winters Model to Study Exchange Rate Volatility
... of Holt-Winters exponential smoothing techniques have been applied in the analysis and predict of exchange rate ...the Holt-Winters model were ...the Holt-Winters ...
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Prediction of non brazilian crude steel production using holt winters method
... level smoothing constants (α) being ...an exponential trend, where a good model for forecasting, which is the multiplicative seasonality with error of ...
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Univariate Time Series Analysis of Second Hand Car Importation in Zambia
... the Exponential Smoothing (ES) and Autoregressive Inte- grated Moving Average (ARIMA) ...various smoothing techniques discussed include: The Simple Exponential Smoothing (SES) which is ...
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The Accuracy Rate of Holt-Winters Model with Particle Swarm Optimization in Forecasting Exchange Rates
... an exponential smoothing using the Holt-Winters Model is used for forecasting exchange ...the smoothing constants is done through computer simulation using Particle Swarm Optimization ...
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Parameters estimation of holt-winter smoothing method using genetic algorithm
... triple exponential smoothing was suggested by Holts student, Peter Winters, in ...as Holt-Winter (HW) method or often simply just Winters ...
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Comparing the Forecasting Performance of Seasonal Arima and Holt -Winters Methods of Births at a Tertiary Healthcare Facility in Ghana
... of Holt-Winters, ARIMA model also has equivalence with a number of exponential smoothing models ...(17). Holt-Winters (HW) model has been used in forecasting the number of ...
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Oil Price Forecasting Based on Various Univariate Time Series Models
... The exponential smoothing (ES), Holt-Winters (HW) and autoregressive intergrade moving average (ARIMA) techniques are some of the methods that use un- ivariate time ...
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Modelling and Forecasting Inflation Rate in Kenya Using SARIMA and Holt-Winters Triple Exponential Smoothing
... the Holt-Winters triple exponential ...the Holt-winters triple exponential smoothing as per the obtained results using MASE, MAE and ...
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CLASSIFICATIONS, ASSESSMENTS AND CHARACTERISTICS AS FACTORS TOWARDS ANALYZING ORGANIZATIONAL KNOWLEDGE
... using Holt - winters method. Strength of this research using Holt - winters are using spreadsheet modeling to optimize smoothing parameter from Holt ...to exponential ...
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An Analysis of the Newly Built Forecasting Method in the Case of Sanitary Materials Data
... of exponential smoothing method(ESM) was equivalent to (1,1) order ARMA model equation, a new method of estimation of smoothing constant in exponential smoothing method was proposed ...
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Forecasting Method with an Introduction of a Day of the Week Index to the Daily Shipping Data of Sanitary Materials
... estimated utilizing (16). There are cases that we cannot obtain a theoretical solution because they do not satisfy the condition of (17). In those cases, Smoothing Constant with minimum variance of forecasting ...
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Prediction of Aviation Equipment Readiness Rate Based on Exponential Smoothing Method
... Using the time series analysis function of Minitab, we can get the following prediction results conveniently, as shown in Figure 1 and Figure 2. The figure shows the actual value of the Aviation equipment readiness rate, ...
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Impact Of Forecast Modeling On Cost Performance
... Forecasting is an art and science of predicting future events (Heizer and Render, 2010). In an overview of forecasting, there is classified into two methods: quantitative forecasting method and qualitative forecasting ...
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Forecasting wheat production using time series models in Pakistan
... Quadratic, Exponential, S-Curve, Double Exponential Smoothing, Single exponential smoothing, Moving average and ARIMA were estimated for wheat ...
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AUDIO DATA AS AN ENCODING FOR COLOR QUICK RESPONSE CODE (CQR) 3D BARCODES
... of Holt-Winters were each ...of Holt-Winters is most suitable, because it gives a relatively accurate prediction for a short period of time, based on the previous values of the time series, ...
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Complex Exponential Smoothing for Seasonal Time Series
... complex smoothing parameter ...complex smoothing parameter and initial components ...known exponential smoothing model can pro- duce similar patterns: multiplicative seasonality implies that ...
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Demand forecasting for production planning in a food company
... = smoothing coefficient for mean (0 < < 1); = smoothing coefficient for trend (0 < < 1); = smoothing coefficient for seasonality (0 < < 1); s = a complete seasonal period ...
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Modeling the Cases of Road Traffic Crashes: A Case of Exponential Smoothing Approach
... of exponential smoothing models proposed with their applications on the cases of road traffic crashes ...and exponential smoothing models was also ...of smoothing parameters, the best ...
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