macroeconomic forecasts
Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7
... of macroeconomic forecasts, is that there is only a limited number of ...individual forecasts for the ...of macroeconomic forecasts for the ...of forecasts summarized in the ...
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Has the accuracy of German macroeconomic forecasts improved?
... produce macroeconomic forecasts for Germany, only four sets of forecasts are examined ...whose forecasts are ...of forecasts that would be available to determine whether accuracy has ...
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A comparative analysis of the accuracy and uncertainty in real estate and macroeconomic forecasts
... judgmental adjustments on the predictive accuracy of econometric models (e.g. McNees, 1990; Donihue, 1993). There is empirical evidence (e.g. Lahiri & Sheng, 2010a) illustrating how individual judgment can contribute ...
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The Reliability of Macroeconomic Forecasts based on Real Interest Rate Gap Estimates in Real Time: an Assessment for the Euro Area.
... Therefore, I endeavour in this paper to test in a more rigorous way for the practical significance of empirical real IRG estimates for the euro area, in the spirit of previous studies that have assessed the reliability ...
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Time-varying Models for Macroeconomic Forecasts
... the uptake of renewables, such as the National Energy Act (1978), the Energy Policy Act (2005), and the Energy Independence and Security Act (2007). In fact, renew- able energy policies play a crucial role in REG sector ...
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An Empirical Analysis of Survey-Based Macroeconomic Forecasts and Uncertainty
... The evidence for the entire cross-section show that the variance misalignment can be diagnosed in both versions of the SPF. The values of the m h -ratio in both surveys tend to be substantially larger than unity at ...
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On the Accuracy and Properties of Recent Macroeconomic Forecasts
... Table 2 shows that the predicted changes in real GITP, taken without regard to sign, differed from the actual changes by less than one percentage point on the average (lines 1-3).. The p[r] ...
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SME access to finance: recent experiences of SMEs in accessing finance. May 2012
... Although macroeconomic forecasts show the pace of growth in Australia increasing in 2012, The CPA Australia Asia-Pacific Small Business Survey 2011 noted that Australian small busine[r] ...
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The Inefficient Use of Macroeconomic Information in Analysts' Earnings Forecasts in Emerging Markets
... handle macroeconomic information more efficiently for transparent companies, irrespective of which trans- parency measure is ...three macroeconomic forecasts are significant for slow-reporting ...the ...
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Mayr, Johannes (2010): Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates: Pooling of Forecasts and Pooling of Information. Dissertation, LMU München: Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät
... consensus forecasts have gained wide acceptance and are frequently used as a benchmark in forecast evaluation ...the forecasts from professional ...Indicators forecasts for main US economic ...
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World Stockmarket Forecasts
... The fund's objective is long term capital growth, but higher investment income will allow the trust to pay a 68.3% higher dividend of 26.5 pence - to yield 2.4%. The shares will trade ex[r] ...
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Forecasts, warnings and information
... By way of example, see 4.2.8 Warnings for Lockyer Valley and Toowoomba, which deals with the events of 10 January 2011, when the Bureau advised the state disaster co-ordination centre w[r] ...
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The Politics of IMF Forecasts
... of forecasts published in WEO (among others, see Artis 1988, 1997; Barrionuevo 1993; Beach et ...IMF forecasts for developing regions have been overly optimistic: WEO forecasts overestimated output ...
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Analysts' long-term growth forecasts and the post-earnings-announcement drift
... short-term forecasts (i.e., analysts revise their short- term forecasts within two trading days after earnings ...LTG forecasts convey information that mitigates ...LTG forecasts and PEAD ...
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Demand Forecasting for New Local Rail Services: A Case Study of a New Service Between Leicester and Burton-On- Trent
... The forecasts for the disaggregate models are based on the same data as is used to forecast using the aggregate models but instead forecasts are derived separately for each individual.. [r] ...
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Performance of ensemble streamflow forecasts under varied hydrometeorological conditions
... A number of studies have investigated the performance of ensemble forecasting systems, e.g. Alfieri et al. (2014) for the European Flood Awareness System, and Bennett et al. (2014), Olsson and Lindström (2008), Renner et ...
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Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
... Seasonal forecasting methods in hydrology can be broadly divided into two categories: statistical methods, which use a statistical relationship between a predictor and a predictand (e.g. Jenicek et al., 2016, and ...
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HESS Opinions "On forecast (in)consistency in a hydro meteorological chain: curse or blessing?"
... Despite the preference of hydrological forecasters for consis- tency one should not ignore the advantages of inconsistency. Inconsistency discourages the forecaster from relying on the latest forecast, and instead ...
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PREDICTION OF GDP BASED ON THE LAG ECONOMIC INDICATORS
... of forecasts. One of these strategies is building combined forecasts in different variants: predictions based on linear combinations whose coefficients are determined using the previous forecasts and ...
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Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility
... quantile forecasts. Quantile forecasts are the product of two factors: the model used to forecast volatility, and the method of computing quantiles from the volatility ...volatility forecasts to ...
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