Appendix B: Key Variables in Energy Choice Simulator Model
III- B16 SUBSCRIPTS USED: Electricity Technology
DATA SOURCE: Modeling assumption
Imported Electricity Price Relative to State or Region Prices: UNIT: Fraction
DESCRIPTION: Expected price of electricity imported into the state relative to in state or region prices.
USE: Used to determine whether the electricity system is predisposed towards importing or exporting electricity. SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: Assumption
Initial Electricity Production Capacity in 2000: UNIT: TWh
DESCRIPTION: State or regional electricity production capacity of each generation technology (see subscripts) in the year 2000. This is the baseline electricity production of each generation technology (see subscripts) onto which new capacity is added.
USE: Input an initial electricity production capacity for each generation technology in TWh for the year 2000. SUBSCRIPTS USED: Electricity Technology
DATA SOURCE: Energy Information administration (EIA) State Energy Data System (SEDS) (2000); http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/_seds.html
Electricity Technology Availability Start Date: UNIT: Year
DESCRIPTION: Date in which a particular electricity technology becomes available for construction.
USE: Used to limit electricity technologies so that they do not become available for construction until after the date set.
SUBSCRIPTS USED: Electricity Technology
DATA SOURCE: ICF International (2008, August 22). Strawman Assumptions for Discussion Purposes Part II (Not for Distribution). Prepared for Modeling Subgroup, Midwest Greenhouse Gas Reduction Accord.
http://www.icfi.com/default.asp
Expected Electricity Loss from Generation Transmission and Distribution: UNIT: Fraction
DESCRIPTION: Expected electricity loss from generation, transmission, and distribution as a fraction of total electricity.
USE: Accounts for the disconnect between demand and production capacity needed to meet that demand from efficiency losses in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity.
SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Review (AER), accessed 2008; http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/aer/whatsnew.html
Electricity Carbon Capture and Storage Rate: UNIT: Fraction
DESCRIPTION: The portion of combustion emissions being captured by CCS for use with IGCC. USE: Used reduce the emissions from coal use in IGCC.
SUBSCRIPTS USED: Electricity Technology
DATA SOURCE: Baseline values are zero or assumptions (SNG and ICGG + CCS). Wind Capacity Limit Relative to Total Capacity:
UNIT: Fraction
DESCRIPTION: Maximum percentage of total capacity that can come from wind turbines USE: Used to cap amount of electricity from wind turbines
SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SORCE: Generalized assumption
Minimum Natural Gas Needed as a Fraction of Wind: UNIT: Fraction
III-B17
DESCRIPTION: Minimum natural gas needed to supplement wind turbine use on the electricity grid. Used as a back-up electricity production capacity for when the wind is not blowing.
USE: Input the fraction of wind generation that needs to be backed up by natural gas generation. SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: Assumption
Minimum Natural Gas for Peak Electricity Use: UNIT: Fraction
DESCRIPTION: Minimum natural gas maintained to meet peak demand. USE: Used to represent capacity needed on an incongruent time scale. SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: Assumption ELECTRICITY-COSTS AND PRICES Electricity Investment Discount Rate: UNIT: Fraction
DESCRIPTION: Discount rate used in the electricity sector.
USE: Used to calculate levelized average costs of particular electricity technologies in order to make decisions about construction.
SUBSCRIPTS USED: Electricity Technology
DATA SOURCE: ICF International (2008, August 22). Strawman Assumptions for Discussion Purposes Part II (Not for Distribution). Prepared for Modeling Subgroup, Midwest Greenhouse Gas Reduction Accord.
http://www.icfi.com/default.asp
Electricity Technology Construction Costs: UNIT: Dollar/TWh
DESCRIPTION: Electricity technology construction costs.
USE: Used to calculate levelized average costs of electricity technologies. SUBSCRIPTS USED: Electricity Technology
DATA SOURCE: SNG: National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) (2007)
http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/coalpower/gasification/pubs/systems_analyses.html
Hydroelectric: Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) (2008), converted to 2009 real dollars, http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html
Existing Pulverized Coal, New Pulverized Coal, Gas Electric, Biomass, Photovoltaic, Wind Turbines, Old Nuclear, New Nuclear: Assumptions based on data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) Electricity Market Module (EMM) (2008),
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/overview/electricity.html
Data appeared in ICF International (2008, August 22). Strawman Assumptions for Discussion Purposes Part II (Not for Distribution). Prepared for Modeling Subgroup, Midwest Greenhouse Gas Reduction Accord.
http://www.icfi.com/default.asp Data converted to 2009 real dollars.
Electricity Technology Operation and Maintenance Costs: UNIT: Dollar/TWh
DESCRIPTION: Electricity technology operation and maintenance costs. USE: Used to calculate levelized average costs for electricity technologies. SUBSCRIPTS USED: Electricity Technology
DATA SOURCE: SNG: National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) (2007)
http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/coalpower/gasification/pubs/systems_analyses.html
Hydroelectric: Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) (2008), converted to 2009 real dollars, http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html
Existing Pulverized Coal, New Pulverized Coal, Gas Electric, Biomass, Photovoltaic, Wind Turbines, Old Nuclear, New Nuclear: ICF Assumptions based on data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) Electricity Market Module (EMM) (2008),
III-B18
Data appeared in ICF International (2008, August 22). Strawman Assumptions for Discussion Purposes Part II (Not for Distribution). Prepared for Modeling Subgroup, Midwest Greenhouse Gas Reduction Accord.
http://www.icfi.com/default.asp Data converted to 2009 real dollars.
Carbon Capture and Storage Main Pipeline Costs: UNIT: Dollars/KWh
DESCRIPTION: Costs incurred on the first 0.5 TWh required to build the main carbon capture and storage pipeline. USE: Used to calculate levelized average electricity technology costs.
SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: ICF International, Clean Air Task Force, http://www.icfi.com/default.asp. Carbon Capture and Storage Costs:
UNIT: Dollars/KWh
DESCRIPTION: Costs incurred to develop carbon capture and storage technology on IGCC plants. USE: Used to calculate levelized average electricity technology costs.
SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: Assumptions based on data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) Electricity Market Module (EMM) (2008),
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/overview/electricity.html
Data appeared in ICF International (2008, August 22). Strawman Assumptions for Discussion Purposes Part II (Not for Distribution). Prepared for Modeling Subgroup, Midwest Greenhouse Gas Reduction Accord.
http://www.icfi.com/default.asp Average Electricity Plant Size: UNIT: TWh
DESCRIPTION: The average size of an electricity generating plant.
USE: Used to calculate the CCS production tax credit limit given a maximum tax credit assumed. SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: Assumption ELECTRICITY-LCFSCO2E CAP ELECTRICITY-C&TCO2E CAP
Maximum Limit to Efficiency Improvements: UNIT: Fraction
DESCRIPTION: Relative to what would happen without efficiency policy, this is the maximum fraction of that reference case that can be reduced through efficiency policy.
USE: Used to set the maximum amount of efficiency gains. SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: Generalized assumption
Initial Credits Available in the Credit Market in Year 2000: UNIT: Metric Tons CO2e
DESCRIPTION: Amount of CO2 emissions used in credits to use in cap and trade system. USE: Used as a first year pool of credits that can be used to meet cap and trade obligations. SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
DATA SOURCE: Generalized Assumption CO2e Credit Costs:
UNIT: Dollar/Metric Ton CO2e
DESCRIPTION: Cost of CO2e credits that can be purchased to meet the cap and trade policy. USE: Used to set the cost of a CO2e credit for cap and trade.
SUBSCRIPTS USED: N/A
III-B19