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DSGE models

A Forecasting Metric for Evaluating DSGE Models for Policy Analysis

A Forecasting Metric for Evaluating DSGE Models for Policy Analysis

... these models can forecast as well as standard atheoretical ...years, DSGE models have become an important tool at policy institutions for forecasting and policy analysis and a lot of research, both ...

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Quasi Bayesian estimation of time varying volatility in DSGE models

Quasi Bayesian estimation of time varying volatility in DSGE models

... NPV-DSGE models can be accounted for by recalling that the NPV-DSGE model’s volatility estimates are much smoother, as illustrated in Figure 1, while the SV-DSGE delivers more noisy and ragged ...

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How applicable are the new keynesian DSGE models to a typical low income economy?

How applicable are the new keynesian DSGE models to a typical low income economy?

... Keynesian DSGE models is by Meeusen (2009 and 2010) who discusses a list of shortcomings of these models that make them incapable of capturing the features of real world economy and, therefore, make ...

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Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models

Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models

... Second, prior and particularly posterior predictive analysis can be valuable tools in assessing strengths and weaknesses of the DSGE models. Prior and posterior predictive analysis were popularized by Box ...

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Data revisions and DSGE models

Data revisions and DSGE models

... The release-based approach for forecasting with DSGE models provides new evidence on the nature of US data revisions and how they a¤ect the measurement of sources of business cycle ‡uctuations. Earlier data ...

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Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models

Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models

... no DSGE model continuously dominates the other models in terms of forecasting ...several models are superior to likelihood based weighting schemes that turn out trying to identify a single best model ...

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Measuring the natural output level by DSGE models: An empirical investigation for Switzerland

Measuring the natural output level by DSGE models: An empirical investigation for Switzerland

... An alternative to ad hoc filtering procedures has recently been provided by Jus- tiniano and Primiceri (2008), Andrés et al. (2005), Neiss and Nelson (2005), and Edge et al. (2008). They estimate and analyze ...

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Yes we can! Teaching DSGE models to undergraduate students

Yes we can! Teaching DSGE models to undergraduate students

... (DSGE) models have become the workhorse of modern macroeconomics and the standard way to communicate ideas among applied ...where DSGE models take center ...

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Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models with Regime Switching

Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models with Regime Switching

... likelihood-based DSGE estimations have used, is faster and convenient to calculate marginal likelihoods, the recent literature advocates the use of the randomized multiple blocks in DSGE models due ...

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Equilibrium Models of Macroeconomic Science: What to Look For in (DSGE) Models?

Equilibrium Models of Macroeconomic Science: What to Look For in (DSGE) Models?

... the DSGE models to seek if there might be something worthwhile in it after ...macroeconomic models should adopt wet<lab practice (at least for peer ...model―rat models per se, since rats’ ...

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The Anatomy of DSGE Models with Banking Industry for Iran's Economy

The Anatomy of DSGE Models with Banking Industry for Iran's Economy

... a DSGE model for Iran's economy, in order to understand the role of banking system in the transmission of monetary ...basic DSGE structures: External Finance Premium Model and Collateral Constraint ...Both ...

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Global Solutions to DSGE Models as a Perturbation of a Deterministic Path

Global Solutions to DSGE Models as a Perturbation of a Deterministic Path

... Perturbation methods are the most widely-used approach to solve nonlinear DSGE models owing to their ability to deal with medium and large-size models for reasonable computational time. Perturbations ...

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Choosing the variables to estimate singular DSGE models: Comment

Choosing the variables to estimate singular DSGE models: Comment

... DSGE models are usually estimated using only a subset of the variables that are present in them. This is partly due to the fact that some variables, such as capital, are not observed. However, even ...

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How accounting accuracy affects DSGE models

How accounting accuracy affects DSGE models

... on the behaviours that can be modelled. Once one introduces slightly irrational behaviours, one increases the chance of models producing only disequilibrium. Thus, this demands an addition procedure when creating ...

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How accounting accuracy affects DSGE models

How accounting accuracy affects DSGE models

... affects DSGE models. As many DSGE models descended from real business cycle models, I ex- plore a simple labor-only RBC model with an exogenous external sector ...introduced, ...

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Walras' Law in the steady state of DSGE models

Walras' Law in the steady state of DSGE models

... In 2014 fifty-four topics dealing with doubts about the steady state of DSGE models were opened on the Dynare discussion forum. In general, the vast majority of researchers that use this methodology to ...

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Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models

Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models

... the DSGE models the most important finding is that their predictive scores are higher than their relative multivariate point forecast accuracy ...these models are helpful in producing a plausible ...

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Tests of policy interventions in DSGE models

Tests of policy interventions in DSGE models

... the DSGE literature a typical policy intervention is a monetary policy shock, calculated as a one standard error displacement of the structural disturbance of a policy equation, such as a Taylor ...that ...

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On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models

On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models

... (DSGE) models, often using Bayesian techniques (see, among many others, DeJong, Ingram and Whiteman, 2000, Smets and Wouters, 2003, 2007 and An and Schorfheide, ...Keynesian DSGE model, such as the ...

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Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey

Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey

... theoretical DSGE with the observed data and there are several interesting ...a DSGE model which su¤ers from ...Typically DSGE models are estimated assuming the existence of certain ...

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