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Robustness for (S, s) Model Estimates: GARCH Indstd

Pricing of S&P 100 Index Options Based On Garch Volatility Estimates

Pricing of S&P 100 Index Options Based On Garch Volatility Estimates

... the S&P 500 index option market based on the performance of two volatility forecast ...the GARCH volatility forecast model generates significantly positive profits after transaction costs with ...

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GARCH – Modelling Theoretical Survey, Model Implementation and Robustness Analysis

GARCH – Modelling Theoretical Survey, Model Implementation and Robustness Analysis

... There are problems associated with this estimation procedure. The assumption of Gaussian noise: It is assumed that the noise { } Z is Gaussian. Although this is not the most realistic t assumption; empirical tests ...

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Robustness of productivity estimates.

Robustness of productivity estimates.

... sion model, measurement error in the dependent variable has no effect on the consistency of least squares estimates, while errors in the independent variables biases coefficient estimates ...the ...

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On the Robustness of Brain Gain Estimates

On the Robustness of Brain Gain Estimates

... The two instruments are signi…cant at the 1% signi…cance level and are therefore kept throughout the analysis. Interestingly, population size enters with a negative sign; this supports the conjecture mentioned above, ...

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On the Robustness of Brain Gain Estimates

On the Robustness of Brain Gain Estimates

... The two instruments are signi…cant at the 1% signi…cance level and are therefore kept throughout the analysis. Interestingly, population size enters with a negative sign; this supports the conjecture mentioned above, ...

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On the robustness of brain gain estimates

On the robustness of brain gain estimates

... The two instruments are signi…cant at the 1% signi…cance level and are therefore kept throughout the analysis. Interestingly, population size enters with a negative sign; this supports the conjecture mentioned above, ...

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Food Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Factors: Evidence from GARCH and GARCH-X Estimates

Food Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Factors: Evidence from GARCH and GARCH-X Estimates

... relationship between relative food prices and certain macroeconomic variables such as real money balances, real per-capita income, the real exchange rate, and the real deficit-to-in- come ratio. The results from a ...

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Estimates and Forecasts of GARCH Model under Misspecified Probability Distributions: A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach

Estimates and Forecasts of GARCH Model under Misspecified Probability Distributions: A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach

... of GARCH models on financial series, there is need to study the effect of misspecifying the GARCH distributional assumptions during ...pure GARCH models are ...Likelihood Estimates (QMLEs) of ...

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Multivariate GARCH Modeling and Comparison to Real Kernel Estimates.

Multivariate GARCH Modeling and Comparison to Real Kernel Estimates.

... For daily data, we choose 5 stocks traded on the NYSE falling into three Standard & Poor defined industries. Within each sector, one or two stocks are picked so that we can both see the co-movement of the stocks in the ...

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QR GARCH M Model for Risk Return Tradeoff in U S  Stock Returns and Business Cycles

QR GARCH M Model for Risk Return Tradeoff in U S Stock Returns and Business Cycles

... also interesting to explore out-of-sample forecasts of the QR-GARCH-M model. This can also be seen as a robustness check against potential overfitting. In our limited forecasting experiment we ...

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Small-sample Properties of Estimators in an ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) Model with a Generalized Error Distribution: a Robustness Study

Small-sample Properties of Estimators in an ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) Model with a Generalized Error Distribution: a Robustness Study

... since model parameters are subject to structural change over time and the efficiency of the quasi- maximum likelihood method is confined to large sample ...

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Robustness of the Estimates of the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve

Robustness of the Estimates of the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve

... the model with real marginal cost as the forcing variable, our closed form estimates of γ b and γ f imply an estimate of the stable root, δ 1 , of ...

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Refining value-at-risk estimates using a Bayesian Markov-switching GJR-GARCH copula-EVT model

Refining value-at-risk estimates using a Bayesian Markov-switching GJR-GARCH copula-EVT model

... Most financial institutions will prefer VaR models with zero or very few exceptions as they routinely produce plots of P&L that show no violation of their 99% confidence VaR models over long periods stating that this ...

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Robustness of the Risk Return Relationship in the U S  Stock Market

Robustness of the Risk Return Relationship in the U S Stock Market

... the robustness of the risk-return relationship in the ...a GARCH-M model typically used in this ...this model as the empirical counterpart of Merton’s (1973) ICAPM model, there should ...

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The power log-GARCH model

The power log-GARCH model

... firs model with volatility proxy dynamics suggests the log-ARCH(1) terms have little or no impact, and that the volatility proxies are endogenously ...fourth model, which do not contain the log-ARCH(1) ...

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Estimation of the Piecewise Exponential Model by Bayesian P Splines via Gibbs Sampling: Robustness and Reliability of Posterior Estimates

Estimation of the Piecewise Exponential Model by Bayesian P Splines via Gibbs Sampling: Robustness and Reliability of Posterior Estimates

... the robustness of this approach with respect to different prior functions and ...PE model as a tool for exploratory ...the estimates are ro- bust with respect to priors and penalties, and consistent ...

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Assessing the role of uncertain precipitation estimates on the robustness of hydrological model parameters under highly variable climate conditions

Assessing the role of uncertain precipitation estimates on the robustness of hydrological model parameters under highly variable climate conditions

... hydrological model, we identified parameters with the highest influence in simulated ...the model development team suggests the following parameters to be ...Xinanjiang model (Zhao and Liu, 1995) that ...

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Properties of Estimates of Daily GARCH Parameters Basaed on Intra-Day Observations

Properties of Estimates of Daily GARCH Parameters Basaed on Intra-Day Observations

... consider estimates of the parameters of GARCH models of daily financial returns, obtained using intra-day (high-frequency) returns data to estimate the daily conditional ...ML estimates, using ...

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Modeling S&P Bombay Stock Exchange BANKEX Index Volatility Patterns Using GARCH Model

Modeling S&P Bombay Stock Exchange BANKEX Index Volatility Patterns Using GARCH Model

... to model the volatility patterns of the S&P Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) BANKEX index which is the indian banking sector ...in S&P BANKEX index. The financial econometric approach includes ...

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SHARP QUANTITATIVE ESTIMATES OF STRUWE S DECOMPOSITION

SHARP QUANTITATIVE ESTIMATES OF STRUWE S DECOMPOSITION

... crucial estimates on ρ and ...point-wise estimates. We use it to establish the estimates used in the proof of main result in the second ...integral estimates between bubbles and their ...

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