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Uncertainty around the estimate

Guidance on Best Estimate and Margin for Uncertainty

Guidance on Best Estimate and Margin for Uncertainty

... 6. Current legislation does not permit discounting of non‐life insurance liabilities except in circumstances where permission has been obtained from the Central Bank. 7. Any items excluded from the Best Estimate ...

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Theoretical Model to Estimate System Uncertainty in Economics

Theoretical Model to Estimate System Uncertainty in Economics

... the uncertainty calculation being ...the uncertainty calculation has a number of methodological ...the uncertainty that lies in the confidence interval of probability ...the estimate of the ...

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Concept Evaluation, Cost Estimate and Uncertainty Analysis

Concept Evaluation, Cost Estimate and Uncertainty Analysis

... The present report should be considered as an amendment and only be considered in conjunction with the report: “High-Speed Railway Lines in Norway – Concept evaluation, Cost Estimate and Uncertainty ...

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Concept Evaluation, Cost Estimate and Uncertainty Analysis

Concept Evaluation, Cost Estimate and Uncertainty Analysis

... • Phase 2 includes operational- and infrastructure planning for the corridors pointed out in phase 1. The result from phase 2 will be used in cost-benefit assessments, and a conclusion will be reached on the realization ...

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DETECTION LIMIT AND ESTIMATE OF UNCERTAINTY OF ANALYTICAL XRF RESULTS*

DETECTION LIMIT AND ESTIMATE OF UNCERTAINTY OF ANALYTICAL XRF RESULTS*

... the uncertainty that is always associated with a certified ...to estimate the global uncertainty over a given range of concentrations for an analytical ...

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Audit of the global carbon budget: estimate errors and their impact on uptake uncertainty

Audit of the global carbon budget: estimate errors and their impact on uptake uncertainty

... an estimate; we must bound our estimates with some level of ...The uncertainty that arises from measure- ment, analytical, and estimate errors is important because it provides scientists and policy ...

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Lidar-derived estimate and uncertainty of carbon sink in successional phases of woody encroachment

Lidar-derived estimate and uncertainty of carbon sink in successional phases of woody encroachment

... to estimate woody carbon storage in varying juniper encroachment phases using high-resolution, three-dimensional lidar ...associated uncertainty of individual juniper trees in the South Mountain area, ...

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Best-estimate T/H Uncertainty Analysis using an Optimized Regression Algorithm ACE

Best-estimate T/H Uncertainty Analysis using an Optimized Regression Algorithm ACE

... priori estimate on functional forms of a regression ...for uncertainty analysis and to provide an example application to the OECD BEMUSE Phase III LOFT L2-5 LBLOCA uncertainty ...

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Bias analysis applied to Agricultural Health Study publications to estimate non-random sources of uncertainty

Bias analysis applied to Agricultural Health Study publications to estimate non-random sources of uncertainty

... Conclusion When studies are designed without the benefit of rand- omized exposure assignment, conventional frequentist statistics underestimate the true uncertainty in an estimate of association. Despite ...

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Calibration induced uncertainty of the EPIC model to estimate climate change impact on global maize yield

Calibration induced uncertainty of the EPIC model to estimate climate change impact on global maize yield

... the uncertainty related to parameterizing specific model parameters because we examined the whole spectrum of the parameters and applied on a warmest climate change scenario ...The estimate could be ...

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Processing Quantities with Heavy-Tailed Distribution of Measurement Uncertainty: How to Estimate the Tails of the Results of Data Processing

Processing Quantities with Heavy-Tailed Distribution of Measurement Uncertainty: How to Estimate the Tails of the Results of Data Processing

... 2 University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX 79968, USA, [email protected] Abstract. Measurements are never absolutely accurate; so, it is impor- tant to estimate how the measurement uncertainty affects the ...

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Uncertainty in a post-construction energy yield estimate

Uncertainty in a post-construction energy yield estimate

... 4 Modelled long-term wind series A: Nacelle anemometer wsp B: None C: None D: None A: WRF ERA-Interim B: WRF ERA-Interim C: WRF ERA-Interim D: WRF ERA-Interim LTC method to calculate [r] ...

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A simulation method to estimate task specific uncertainty in 3D microscopy

A simulation method to estimate task specific uncertainty in 3D microscopy

... proposed simulation method; they include form (flatness measurements) and size 601. measurements (diameter and height measurements)[r] ...

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A new estimate of the China temperature anomaly series and uncertainty assessment in 1900-2006

A new estimate of the China temperature anomaly series and uncertainty assessment in 1900-2006

... B-SHADE was employed to remedy the small and biased sample to make a BLUE estimation of the temperature anomaly series in the period. After 1960, the station net- works had signi ficantly improved, so the MSN method was ...

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Application of best estimate plus uncertainty in review of research reactor safety analysis

Application of best estimate plus uncertainty in review of research reactor safety analysis

... Al - though boil ing in the re ac tor core oc curs af ter the tran - sient, the re sults of the GHARR-1 MNSR peak cool ant chan nel block age show that the tem per a tures are still wit[r] ...

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In-situ Leaf Area Index estimate uncertainty in forests: supporting Earth Observation product calibration and validation

In-situ Leaf Area Index estimate uncertainty in forests: supporting Earth Observation product calibration and validation

... Similar to the angular clumping results, CLX (k = 15°) was the best performing clumping algorithm at the 55-60° zenith angle. However, CLX clumping was around 0.2-0.25 greater than the reference clumping values, ...

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Projecting malaria hazard from climate change in eastern Africa using large ensembles to estimate uncertainty

Projecting malaria hazard from climate change in eastern Africa using large ensembles to estimate uncertainty

... effect of climate change on future disease hazard dynamics. These models have predicted long-term shifts in spatial hazard dynamics for malaria when changes in local environmental conditions are applied leading to the ...

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Improving the mean and uncertainty of ultraviolet multi-filter rotating shadowband radiometer in situ calibration factors: utilizing Gaussian process regression with a new method to estimate dynamic input uncertainty

Improving the mean and uncertainty of ultraviolet multi-filter rotating shadowband radiometer in situ calibration factors: utilizing Gaussian process regression with a new method to estimate dynamic input uncertainty

... Figure 1. Main procedure for deriving the mean and confidence interval functions using Gaussian process regression (a) and detailed procedure of the proposed input uncertainty estimation method (b). may not be ...

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Anticipating Uncertainty: Straddles around Earnings Announcements

Anticipating Uncertainty: Straddles around Earnings Announcements

... The expected return on a straddle depends on its exposure to systematic risks, such as market risk, market volatility risk, and market jump risk. Because delta-neutral straddles have zero exposure to the underlying ...
Should we care about the uncertainty around measures of political-economic development?

Should we care about the uncertainty around measures of political-economic development?

... an estimate along with a standard error reflecting the un- certainty of this ...the uncertainty around the values of various measures of political-economic develop- ment tends to have a large ...

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