[PDF] Top 20 Climate of the last millennium: ensemble consistency of simulations and reconstructions
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Climate of the last millennium: ensemble consistency of simulations and reconstructions
... The climatological residuals highlight even more strongly the lack of consistency between the ensemble and the target (Fig. 9). Deviations from the target are similar for the in- dividual SIM ... See full document
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Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the last millennium (v1.0)
... in simulations of this ...model simulations will closely follow the smoothed forcing fields, though with amplitudes and lags that will vary depending on rates of ocean heat uptake and overall ...long ... See full document
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Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the Last Millennium (v1.1)
... the climate response (particularly in the ...the reconstructions we provide have identical SSI changes (as a function of TSI changes), based on the Lean (2009) data (thus the absolute changes in the UV ... See full document
7
Simulated climate variability in the region of Rapa Nui during the last millennium
... Climate simulations with two different climate models have been analysed with respect to simulated temperature and precipitation in the region around Rapa Nui between 800 and 1750 ...The ... See full document
8
A comparison of model simulations of Asian mega-droughts during the past millennium with proxy reconstructions
... “millennium” simulations of two coupled atmosphere– ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) from PMIP3 and CMIP5 projects are analysed: ECHAM5/MPIOM (five ensemble members) from Max Planck ... See full document
11
Back to the future: using long term observational and paleo proxy reconstructions to improve model projections of Antarctic climate
... between reconstructions, which indicate limited, non-significant continent-scale temperature trends, and the warming trends simulated by historical (1850–2005) climate simulations ...regional-scale ... See full document
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The South American monsoon variability over the last millennium in climate models
... model simulations repro- duced warmer temperatures during the MCA when com- pared with the LIA but generally underestimated the regional changes detected from available reconstructions or failed to simulate ... See full document
11
Using simulations of the last millennium to understand climate variability seen in palaeo-observations: similar variation of Iceland–Scotland overflow strength and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
... the last 600 years sug- gests that its low-frequency variability exhibits strong sim- ilarity with palaeo-reconstructions of the Atlantic Multi- decadal Oscillation ...the last millennium ... See full document
14
Report of the 3rd Session of the CLIVAR/PAGES Intersection Working Group, 8 10 November 2004, Oak Bay Beach Hotel, Victoria, Canada
... new reconstructions of climate variability on glacial-interglacial time ...current climate change context at these polar locations is specific with a weak warming trend in Greenland annual mean ... See full document
24
Continental-scale temperature variability in PMIP3 simulations and PAGES 2k regional temperature reconstructions over the past millennium
... the simulations agree with the ...or simulations or ...of reconstructions is dependent on how they were calibrated to instrumental observations ...true climate and the non- climatic proxy-data ... See full document
27
Climate and carbon-cycle variability over the last millennium
... the ensemble mean of the E2 simulations agrees somewhat better with the consensus of ...The ensemble spreads ...the ensemble size is small. The magnitude of the ensemble spreads is, ... See full document
15
Consistency of the multi-model CMIP5/PMIP3-past1000 ensemble
... climatological consistency of the CMIP5/PMIP3 ensemble simulations for the last millennium relative to proxy-based reconstructions under the paradigm of a statistically indis- ... See full document
17
Internal and external variability in regional simulations of the Iberian Peninsula climate over the last millennium
... Two simulations were performed with this model con- figuration, both driven by the same reconstructions of sev- eral external forcings, which are depicted in the first two panels of ...two ... See full document
12
Large-scale temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium
... various climate subsystems like ice sheets, permafrost, land surface processes, convection parametrizations, ...different climate sensitivi- ...the last millennium add to the uncer- tainty of ... See full document
29
Impact of postglacial warming on borehole reconstructions of last millennium temperatures
... climates has not yet been studied systematically, though its effect was identified as a source of error when inverting very shallow borehole temperature profiles many times (amongst others Majorowicz, 2004; Hartmann and ... See full document
8
Statistical framework for evaluation of climate model simulations by use of climate proxy data from the last millennium – Part 2: A pseudo-proxy study addressing the amplitude of solar forcing
... E2 ensemble members as targets – see ...The simulations are: 1 = land-use changes, 2 = low solar, 3 = high solar, 4 = volcanoes, 5– 9 = E1, 10–12 = E2, 13 = average E1, 14 = average ... See full document
11
An ensemble-based approach to climate reconstructions
... assimilate climate proxy information into models include the pioneering work of von Storch et ...past climate states, based on simulations with an Earth system model of intermediate com- ... See full document
14
Variations of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in control and transient simulations of the last millennium
... control simulations, we conducted two experiments with the external forcing level appropriate for 1500 ...check consistency. The last 480 years of the NCAR integration are used as a perpetual 1990 ... See full document
18
Combining a pollen and macrofossil synthesis with climate simulations for spatial reconstructions of European climate using Bayesian filtering
... multi-model ensemble of climate simulations with boundary conditions adjusted to the MH was produced in the Paleocli- mate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase III (PMIP3; Braconnot et ...This ... See full document
27
Statistical framework for evaluation of climate model simulations by use of climate proxy data from the last millennium – Part 1: Theory
... of ensemble simulations from global climate models with networks of climate proxy and instrumental records has been developed, focusing on near-surface temperatures for the last ... See full document
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