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GARCH model

Pair Trading in Tehran Stock Exchange based on Smooth Transition GARCH Model

Pair Trading in Tehran Stock Exchange based on Smooth Transition GARCH Model

... transition GARCH model with the second-order logistic function on the return spread for the in-sample period using equations 4 and ...MCMC model. In order to implement this model, we use ...

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Modelling financial time series with SEMIFAR GARCH model

Modelling financial time series with SEMIFAR GARCH model

... SEMIFAR model to a SEMIFAR-GARCH model, so that conditional heteroskedasticity in financial time series can also be modelled by the SEMIFAR ...SEMIFAR model are extended to the current ...

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A Multiplicative Seasonal ARIMA/GARCH Model in EVN Traffic Prediction

A Multiplicative Seasonal ARIMA/GARCH Model in EVN Traffic Prediction

... build GARCH model based on the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA model that we ...above, GARCH (1, 1) assuming GED formulates which has the smallest measure of forecast error, ...the model ...

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Stock Volatility Modelling with Augmented GARCH Model with Jumps

Stock Volatility Modelling with Augmented GARCH Model with Jumps

... two GARCH models with jumps to evaluate the impact of news flow intensity on stock ...well-known GARCH model with jumps proposed in ...the GARCH-Jumps model augmented with news ...

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GARCH model with cross sectional volatility; GARCHX models

GARCH model with cross sectional volatility; GARCHX models

... our model GARCHX models since the constant in GARCH models is replaced by an extra term, ...GARCHX model does not need additional ...GARCHX model is simple, but includes information on some ...

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Examination of garch model for determinants of infosys stock returns

Examination of garch model for determinants of infosys stock returns

... (GARCH) model based on the ARCH model. Then, GARCH model was ...The GARCH process is often preferred by financial professionals because it provides a more real-world context than ...

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A component GARCH model with time varying weights

A component GARCH model with time varying weights

... standard GARCH model, which allows time varying persistence in the volatility ...the model structure could be easily modified to account for more general situations in which variations in the ...

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Theory and inference for a Markov switching GARCH model

Theory and inference for a Markov switching GARCH model

... a GARCH model is estimated using daily or higher frequency data, the estimate of this sum tends to be close to one, indicating that the volatility process is highly persistent and the second moment of the ...

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An Asymmetric Block Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH Model

An Asymmetric Block Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH Model

... the GARCH model of Bollerslev (1986) has been extended to several classes of multivariate GARCH models (see Bauwens, Laurent and Rombouts ...(2006)). GARCH itself has come a long way since ...

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Using Emotional Markers' Frequencies in Stock Market ARMAX GARCH Model

Using Emotional Markers' Frequencies in Stock Market ARMAX GARCH Model

... Abstract. We analyze the possibility of improving the prediction of stock market indicators by adding information about public mood ex- pressed in Twitter posts. To estimate public mood, we analysed frequen- cies of 175 ...

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GARCH Model with Jumps: Testing the Impact of News Intensity on Stock Volatility

GARCH Model with Jumps: Testing the Impact of News Intensity on Stock Volatility

... In the papers [11] and [12] authors analyze the impact of extraneous sources of information (viz. news and trade volume) on stock volatility by considering some augmented Generalized Autoregressive Conditional ...

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Performance of Markov Switching GARCH Model Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty

Performance of Markov Switching GARCH Model Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty

... regime-switching GARCH model, one with normally distributed errors (MS-GARCH-N) and another with t-distributed errors (MS-GARCH-t), and compare their relative in-sample as well as ...

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Modelling of crude oil prices using hybrid arima-garch model

Modelling of crude oil prices using hybrid arima-garch model

... This study explores the potential of hybrid ARIMA-GARCH model in handling volatile data. The price of crude oil data will be used for this purpose. This report consists of five chapters. Chapter 1 presents ...

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Fourier  type estimation of the power garch model with stable  paretian innovations

Fourier type estimation of the power garch model with stable paretian innovations

... We propose an estimation method for the so–called power GARCH model with stable Paretian (SP) innovations. The method is based on the integrated weighted squared distance between the characteristic function ...

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Forecasting conditional volatility on the RIN market using MS GARCH model

Forecasting conditional volatility on the RIN market using MS GARCH model

... mixed GARCH model. We just consider results of regime switching GARCH model and a model from the previous paper ...ARMA-t-GARCH model as ...

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The Log-GARCH Model via ARMA Representations

The Log-GARCH Model via ARMA Representations

... log-GARCH model provides a flexible framework for the modelling of economic uncertainty, financial volatility and other positively valued ...the model robust to jumps or ...the model admits ...

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Asymptotic Theory for a Vector ARMA-GARCH Model,

Asymptotic Theory for a Vector ARMA-GARCH Model,

... ARCH model requires only the second-order moment of the unconditional errors, and the finite fourth-order moment of the condi- tional ...ARMA-ARCH model was proved using the fourth-order moment, which is an ...

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A Multivariate Generalized Orthogonal Factor GARCH Model

A Multivariate Generalized Orthogonal Factor GARCH Model

... GARCH model. Our model is related to the factor GARCH model of Engle et ...Gaussian model, become identi fi - able in a model based on a mixture of normal ...factor ...

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Theory and inference for a Markov switching Garch model.

Theory and inference for a Markov switching Garch model.

... a GARCH model is estimated using daily or higher frequency data, the estimate of this sum tends to be close to one, indicating that the volatility process is highly persistent and the second moment of the ...

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Composite Likelihood for Bilinear  GARCH Model

Composite Likelihood for Bilinear GARCH Model

... 2) model, like the positivity, stationarity and marginal distribution; then we study the statistical inference, apply the composite likelihood on panel of BL-GARCH (1, 2) model, and study the ...

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