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The Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) Approach

The price puzzle and monetary policy transmission mechanism in Pakistan: Structural vector autoregressive approach

The price puzzle and monetary policy transmission mechanism in Pakistan: Structural vector autoregressive approach

... Abstract This paper address the issue of monetary policy effectiveness and the price puzzle, a positive response of prices to monetary tightening, in Pakistan. Study examines the effects of monetary policy shock on price ...

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An empirical analysis of how oil price changes influence the Norwegian economy : a structural vector autoregressive approach

An empirical analysis of how oil price changes influence the Norwegian economy : a structural vector autoregressive approach

... This section presents first the stages the oil shock research area has gone through from the 1970s to present day. The oil shock research can be roughly divided into three development stages where the first stage in the ...

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Identification in structural vector autoregressive models with structural changes

Identification in structural vector autoregressive models with structural changes

... We derive a necessary and su¢ cient rank condition for local identi…cation and show that the combination of heteroskedasticity and theory-driven restrictions opens interesting possibility for practitioners, unexplored so ...

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In search of Q: results on identification in structural vector autoregressive  models

In search of Q: results on identification in structural vector autoregressive models

... forth recently by Arias, Caldara, and Rubio-Ram´ırez (2015) (Scheme II). According to our results, the SVAR impulse responses point towards a mildly positive asset price response to an increase in the monetary policy ...

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A No-Arbitrage Structural Vector Autoregressive Model of the UK Yield Curve

A No-Arbitrage Structural Vector Autoregressive Model of the UK Yield Curve

... We contribute to the macro- nance term structure literature by combining an arbitrage-free term structure model with a SVAR approach. The combination of the SVAR and the ATSM helps us to achieve several goals. ...

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The Dynamics of the Monetary Policy Volatility: A Spectrum-vector Autoregressive Approach

The Dynamics of the Monetary Policy Volatility: A Spectrum-vector Autoregressive Approach

... 3.4. Results of the Structural VAR Estimation This section reports the empirical results of the estimation of SVAR. Quarterly data from 1988:Q1 to 2017:Q3 are used. The data are collected from datastream: IFS. The ...

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Stock Prices and Economic Fluctuations: A Markov Switching Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis

Stock Prices and Economic Fluctuations: A Markov Switching Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis

... SVAR approach a transformation of the reduced form residuals u t is used to obtain the structural shocks, say ε t ...the structural shocks are assumed to be orthogonal and typically their variances ...

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Bayesian analysis of a vector autoregressive model with multiple structural breaks

Bayesian analysis of a vector autoregressive model with multiple structural breaks

... Bayesian approach for analyzing a vector autoregressive model with multiple structural breaks based on MCMC simulation methods, extending a method developed for the univariate case by Wang and ...

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Forecasting with Global Vector Autoregressive Models: A Bayesian Approach

Forecasting with Global Vector Autoregressive Models: A Bayesian Approach

... Most of the existing applications of GVAR models concentrate on the quantitative as- sessment of the propagation of macroeconomic shocks using historical data, while very few contributions have addressed their ...

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International Macroeconomic Dynamics: A Factor Vector Autoregressive Approach

International Macroeconomic Dynamics: A Factor Vector Autoregressive Approach

... the structural disturbance to the in‡ation factor may re‡ect other macroeconomic ...the structural disturbance to the in‡ation factor could be related to common supply-side ...

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International Macroeconomic Dynamics: a Factor Vector Autoregressive Approach

International Macroeconomic Dynamics: a Factor Vector Autoregressive Approach

... to structural disturbances to the output growth and to the inflation factors are broadly consistent with the interpretation of the first as mainly demand-determined, and of the sec- ond as reflecting supply-side ...

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Partial Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models with Structural Breaks in Deterministic Terms

Partial Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models with Structural Breaks in Deterministic Terms

... The coefficient for the terms of trade, ppp t , should also be noted. It is negative, thus indicating a relative price effect on the trade balance in a theory-consistent manner; that is, a decrease in exports prices ...

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A graphical vector autoregressive modelling approach to the analysis of electronic diary data

A graphical vector autoregressive modelling approach to the analysis of electronic diary data

... the structural or graphical modelling approach is to determine the constrained VAR model that best describes the pattern of interrelationships present in the electronic dairy ...selection approach is ...

13

The multi-country transmission of sovereign and banking risk: a spatial vector autoregressive approach

The multi-country transmission of sovereign and banking risk: a spatial vector autoregressive approach

... 17 The results of structural decomposition with sector specific linkages are reported in Table 5. Overall, the results are qualitatively robust. However, the proportion of the error variance explained by the ...

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Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach

Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach

... Structural vector autoregressions (VARs) are widely used to trace out the effect of monetary policy innovations on the ...standard structural VAR analysis with recent developments in factor analysis ...

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Output Decomposition and the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Approach

Output Decomposition and the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Approach

... bank’s policy interest (r) along with consumption, investment, remaining output (export and government expenditure) and GDP deflator contemporaneously affects the credit market. However, except the total credit (tc), all ...

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Modelling economic interdependencies of international tourism Demand : the global vector autoregressive approach.

Modelling economic interdependencies of international tourism Demand : the global vector autoregressive approach.

... However, the static models often face criticism for their inherent limitations. In tourism demand modelling, time series data 1 of tourism demand and economic variables are commonly used. It is assumed that ideally both ...

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The Impact of Public Expenditure Components on Economic Growth in Ethiopia; Vector Autoregressive Approach

The Impact of Public Expenditure Components on Economic Growth in Ethiopia; Vector Autoregressive Approach

... A linear line LNRGDP in the above figure illustrates the existence of continuous increments in real GDP except the structural break point in 1984/85 and 1991/92. In 1984/85 the country was in a great famine which ...

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Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Heteroskedastic Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks

Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Heteroskedastic Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks

... In the Monte Carlo analysis, the location of the break points and the value of the fractional differencing parameter are taken as known, in order to focus on the assessment on the estimation procedure contributed by the ...

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Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks

Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks

... tor autoregressive (FI-HF-VAR) model is introduced. The proposed approach is characterized by minimal pretesting requirements and sim- plicity of implementation also in very large systems, performing well ...

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