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credible intervals

Methods for calculating confidence and credible intervals for the residual between-study variance in random effects meta-regression models

Methods for calculating confidence and credible intervals for the residual between-study variance in random effects meta-regression models

... We have presented three methods for performing inter- val estimation of the residual between-study variance in random effects meta-regression models. All three meth- ods are relatively straightforward extensions of ...

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The maimed Martian, credible intervals and bias against benefit

The maimed Martian, credible intervals and bias against benefit

... These credible intervals have a similar role to confidence intervals, but have several advantages – they are usually narrower, unlike confidence intervals they can be directly interpreted as ...

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Bayesian nonparametric inference for discovery probabilities: credible intervals and large samples asymptotics

Bayesian nonparametric inference for discovery probabilities: credible intervals and large samples asymptotics

... The problem of associating a measure of uncertainty to Bayesian nonpara- metric estimators for discovery probabilities was first addressed in Lijoi, Mena and Pr¨ unster (2007) where estimates of the probability of ...

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Bayesian Approach for Constant-Stress Accelerated Life Testing  for Kumaraswamy Weibull Distribution with Censoring

Bayesian Approach for Constant-Stress Accelerated Life Testing for Kumaraswamy Weibull Distribution with Censoring

... The accelerated life tests provide quick information on the life time distributions by testing materials or products at higher than basic conditional levels of stress such as pressure, high temperature, vibration, ...

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A novel model fitted to multiple life stages of malaria for assessing efficacy of transmission blocking interventions

A novel model fitted to multiple life stages of malaria for assessing efficacy of transmission blocking interventions

... The transmission-blocking prevalence a and c and transmission-reducing intensity b and d efficacy % and critical binomial 95% credible intervals shaded regions around lines generated fro[r] ...

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Characterizing local scale heterogeneity of malaria risk: a case study in Bunkpurugu Yunyoo district in northern Ghana

Characterizing local scale heterogeneity of malaria risk: a case study in Bunkpurugu Yunyoo district in northern Ghana

... CI: credible intervals; CIESIN: Center for International Earth Science Information Network; DHS: Demographic Health Surveys; GLM: Generalized linear regression model; GHS: Ghana Health Service; GIS: ...

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Psychosocial interventions for Alzheimer’s disease cognitive symptoms: a Bayesian network meta-analysis

Psychosocial interventions for Alzheimer’s disease cognitive symptoms: a Bayesian network meta-analysis

... CI: Credible intervals; CST + ChEIs: The combination of cognitive stimulation treatment and acetylcholinesterase inhibitor; CT + ChEIs: And the combination of cognitive training and acetylcholinesterase ...

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Probabilistic uncertainty analysis of an FRF of a structure using	a Gaussian process emulator

Probabilistic uncertainty analysis of an FRF of a structure using a Gaussian process emulator

... This Monte Carlo procedure is illustrated in Figure 2, again using a toy model with one input and one output. In the example the aim is to estimate S(Y ) = E[Y ], the mean of the uncertainty distribution. Figure 2a shows ...

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Malaria prevalence metrics in low  and middle income countries: an assessment of precision in nationally representative surveys

Malaria prevalence metrics in low and middle income countries: an assessment of precision in nationally representative surveys

... 95% credible intervals of the marginal posterior distribution from the Bayesian analysis is presented for measures of effectiveness: intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC), the estimated design effect ...

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BUGSnet: an R package to facilitate the conduct and reporting of Bayesian network Meta-analyses

BUGSnet: an R package to facilitate the conduct and reporting of Bayesian network Meta-analyses

... Legend: The values in each cell represent the relative treatment effect (and 95% credible intervals) of the treatment on the top, compared to the treatment on the left. A double asterisk[r] ...

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Bayesian Analysis of Type I Censored Data from Two-Parameter Exponential Distribution

Bayesian Analysis of Type I Censored Data from Two-Parameter Exponential Distribution

... This paper aims to derive Bayes point estimates and credible intervals for the scale and location parameters of a two exponential distribution based on complete and Type-I censored samples separately. Bayes ...

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The contribution of malaria control interventions on spatio temporal changes of parasitaemia risk in Uganda during 2009–2014

The contribution of malaria control interventions on spatio temporal changes of parasitaemia risk in Uganda during 2009–2014

... Bayesian credible intervals; DHS: Demographic health survey; EWES: Environmental monitoring system; GRUMP: Global rural-urban mapping project; IRS: Indoor residual spraying; ITNs: Insecticide treated nets; ...

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Rethinking Holocene Ecological Relationships Among Caribou, Muskoxen, and Human Hunters on Banks Island, NWT, Canada: A Stable Isotope Approach

Rethinking Holocene Ecological Relationships Among Caribou, Muskoxen, and Human Hunters on Banks Island, NWT, Canada: A Stable Isotope Approach

... Mean and median values and 95% credible intervals of the posterior probability distributions of aggregated forage sources, indicating the estimated proportional contribution of each fo[r] ...

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Likelihood-based random-effects meta-analysis with few studies: empirical and simulation studies

Likelihood-based random-effects meta-analysis with few studies: empirical and simulation studies

... confidence intervals are ...lower. Credible intervals are empirically and in the simulation study wider than unadjusted confidence intervals, but considerably narrower than adjusted ones, with ...

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Temporal and spatial dynamics of fisheries discards from Irish waters

Temporal and spatial dynamics of fisheries discards from Irish waters

... This appendix comprises the supplementary results of Chapter 4: Table B1 shows the variance means and credible intervals of the discards estimate of all species combined associated with [r] ...

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Parental care, loss of paternity and circulating levels of testosterone and corticosterone in a socially monogamous song bird

Parental care, loss of paternity and circulating levels of testosterone and corticosterone in a socially monogamous song bird

... As a second step we assessed the relationship of pa- ternal care and paternity loss. For this we used a sub set of individuals for which both paternal care and pater- nity data were available. Paternal care, expressed as ...

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Bayesian Estimation Using MCMC Approach Based on Progressive First-Failure Censoring from Generalized Pareto Distribution

Bayesian Estimation Using MCMC Approach Based on Progressive First-Failure Censoring from Generalized Pareto Distribution

... the credible intervals and bootstrap confidence intervals of the unknown parameters of Lomax distribution under the progressive first-failure censoring ...

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Bayesian Modelling of Direct and Indirect Effects of Marine Reserves on Fishes : A thesis presented in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Statistics at Massey University, Albany, New Zealand

Bayesian Modelling of Direct and Indirect Effects of Marine Reserves on Fishes : A thesis presented in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Statistics at Massey University, Albany, New Zealand

... 95% credible intervals (as described in the legend for Table 5-4) of the mean relative densities for either legal or sublegal snapper in each of two seasons at each of three ...

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Ecosystem engineering by digging mammals: effects on soil fertility and condition in Tasmanian temperate woodland

Ecosystem engineering by digging mammals: effects on soil fertility and condition in Tasmanian temperate woodland

... Coefficient sizes +95% credible intervals and associated p-values of the effects of habitat types, digging treatment, and the interaction between habitat type and digging treatment that [r] ...

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Bayesian Approach for Constant-Stress Accelerated Life Testing for Kumaraswamy Weibull Distribution with Censoring

Bayesian Approach for Constant-Stress Accelerated Life Testing for Kumaraswamy Weibull Distribution with Censoring

... The accelerated life tests provide quick information on the life time distributions by testing materials or products at higher than basic conditional levels of stress such as pressure, high temperature, vibration, ...

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