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Long Term Forecasting

Long-term Forecasting using Tensor-Train RNNs

Long-term Forecasting using Tensor-Train RNNs

... while LSTM and MLSTM only correctly predict the mean. These baselines cannot capture the dynamics fully, often predicting an incorrect range and phase for the dynamics. In Figure 7 we show predictions for the real world ...

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Analytic Long-Term Forecasting with Periodic Gaussian Processes

Analytic Long-Term Forecasting with Periodic Gaussian Processes

... for long- term forecasting, the models were used to predict the pendulum’s state evolution for 100 time steps ...For long-term forecasting with the Gaussian kernel, we used the ...

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Long Term Forecasting of Solar Power Using Artificial Neural Network

Long Term Forecasting of Solar Power Using Artificial Neural Network

... the forecasting issues. This paper presents a new approach to tackle the long-term forecasting challenge and accordingly reduce the uncertainty of the PV forecast, which would accordingly help ...

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Scenarios of economic development in Romania - medium to long-term forecasting models

Scenarios of economic development in Romania - medium to long-term forecasting models

... Andrei Roudoi (Global Insight) Abstract In order to obtain plausible scenarios of economic development in Romania up to the 2015 horizon, we used a mix of forecasting models, from ones classified as “medium- ...

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An Informed Long-term Forecasting Method for Electrical Distribution Network Operators

An Informed Long-term Forecasting Method for Electrical Distribution Network Operators

... CL-ANFIS Forecasting Algorithm After conducting these preliminary analyses on external data sets and the provided NPG load data in Chapters 4 and 5, an informed forecasting load algorithm was ...and ...

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Scenarios of economic development in Romania   medium to long term forecasting models

Scenarios of economic development in Romania medium to long term forecasting models

... Andrei Roudoi (Global Insight) Abstract In order to obtain plausible scenarios of economic development in Romania up to the 2015 horizon, we used a mix of forecasting models, from ones classified as “medium- ...

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Nonlinear Differential Equation of Macroeconomic Dynamics for Long Term Forecasting of Economic Development

Nonlinear Differential Equation of Macroeconomic Dynamics for Long Term Forecasting of Economic Development

... describes long-term economic growth in terms of cyclical and trend ...a long-term Kondratieff cycle and medium-term Juglar and Kuznets ...

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Agricultural Trade Policy Issues in the Eighties, Current Research and Long-Term Forecasting

Agricultural Trade Policy Issues in the Eighties, Current Research and Long-Term Forecasting

... policies that are used either to protect a country's domestic agriculture or to stimulate exports of agricultural commodities, (2) domestic agricultural policies that [r] ...

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Energy systems scenario modelling and long term forecasting of hourly electricity demand

Energy systems scenario modelling and long term forecasting of hourly electricity demand

... This introduces a complexity into the future Danish energy system which has made Denmark an interesting case for analyses of high-RES energy systems as well as the centre point of a numb[r] ...

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Studies on long-term inflow forecasting

Studies on long-term inflow forecasting

... 1.2.2 Long-term inflow forecasting in Finland The longest, still continuous water level time-series in Finland is available from Lauritsala, Lake Saimaa, since ...inflow forecasting and the ...

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Density forecasting for long-term peak electricity demand

Density forecasting for long-term peak electricity demand

... of long-term and short-term demand forecasts are quite ...short-term forecasting, we are often interested in point forecasts ...For long-term forecasting, point ...

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Long Term Load Forecasting Using Fuzzy Logic Methodology

Long Term Load Forecasting Using Fuzzy Logic Methodology

... load forecasting is very important for planning operation and control of a power ...Load forecasting can be broadly divided into three categories: short-term forecasting, medium term ...

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Long-Term Economic Forecasting with Structured Analogies and Interaction Groups

Long-Term Economic Forecasting with Structured Analogies and Interaction Groups

... judgmental forecasting techniques, Structured Analogies and Interaction groups for long-term ...evaluate forecasting accuracy per se but to highlight the potential of such techniques in this ...

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An adaptive backpropagation algorithm for long-term electricity load forecasting

An adaptive backpropagation algorithm for long-term electricity load forecasting

... and long-term forecasting values obtained by each forecasting method is demonstrated in ...best long-term forecasts of load demand are obtained using the proposed ...on ...

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A Production Cost Model for Long-term Power Price Correlation Forecasting

A Production Cost Model for Long-term Power Price Correlation Forecasting

... price forecasting approaches are mainly focused on short- term electricity price ...medium term (weeks to years) and long term (many years) ...and long term price ...the ...

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Different Methods of Long-Term Electric Load Demand Forecasting a Comprehensive Review

Different Methods of Long-Term Electric Load Demand Forecasting a Comprehensive Review

... underlying forecasting process; all of them uncertain and uncontrollable ...(1) long-term load forecasting is always inaccurate (2) peak demand is very much dependant on temperature (3) some ...

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Long-Term Sales Forecasting Using Lee-Carter And Holt-Winters Methods

Long-Term Sales Forecasting Using Lee-Carter And Holt-Winters Methods

... mortality forecasting in the demographic literature” (Deaton and Paxson ...for long-term forecasting based on a lengthy time series of historic ...for long-term forecasts of age ...

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LONG TERM ELECTRIC PEAK LOAD FORECASTING OF KUTAHYA USING DIFFERENT APPROACHES

LONG TERM ELECTRIC PEAK LOAD FORECASTING OF KUTAHYA USING DIFFERENT APPROACHES

... load forecasting is performed by studying the past events. Long term forecasting of future peak load demand is very important for the economic and secure operation of power ...the long ...

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Forecasting Traffic Flow: Short Term, Long Term, and When It Rains

Forecasting Traffic Flow: Short Term, Long Term, and When It Rains

...  The default 1-step ahead SSE was attempted, but resulted in very poor forecasting results for higher steps, possibly due to the lack of need to rely on seasonal components make good [r] ...

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Long term and short term forecasting 
		techniques for regional airport planning

Long term and short term forecasting techniques for regional airport planning

... The annual number of passengers traveling with commercial air transport has increased substantially in recent years and is expected to continue increasing, with regional airports experiencing extra strong growth. Both ...

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