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Projected Changes

Scaled distribution mapping: a bias correction method that preserves raw climate model projected changes

Scaled distribution mapping: a bias correction method that preserves raw climate model projected changes

... jected changes relative to the other ...projects changes across Europe that are 1 ◦ C less than what was ob- ...these projected changes by 1 ◦ C, thereby canceling out the model performance ...

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Simulated hydrologic response to projected changes in precipitation  and temperature in the Congo River basin

Simulated hydrologic response to projected changes in precipitation and temperature in the Congo River basin

... is projected to increase by 5 % [−9 %; 20 %] (mean – min and max – across model ensembles) over the next two decades and by 7 % [ − 12 %; 24 %] by ...mid-century. Projected changes in runoff from ...

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Effects of projected changes in tropical cyclone frequency on sea turtles

Effects of projected changes in tropical cyclone frequency on sea turtles

... how projected intensification of cyclonic activity will affect sea turtles and have found that intensification of cyclones will reduce hatching success at sea turtle nesting ...predicted changes in cyclone ...

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Quantifying projected changes in runoff variability and flow regimes of the Fraser River Basin, British Columbia

Quantifying projected changes in runoff variability and flow regimes of the Fraser River Basin, British Columbia

... method, version 2.0 (BCCAQ2), a hybrid approach that com- bines the bias-corrected constructed analogue (BCCA; Mau- rer et al., 2010) and bias-corrected climate imprint (BCCI; Hunter and Meentemeyer, 2005) techniques. ...

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A REVIEW OF OBSERVED AND PROJECTED CHANGES IN CLIMATE FOR THE ISLANDS IN THE CARIBBEAN (edited by H. Diaz).

A REVIEW OF OBSERVED AND PROJECTED CHANGES IN CLIMATE FOR THE ISLANDS IN THE CARIBBEAN (edited by H. Diaz).

... and projected changes in climate have serious socio-economic implications for the Caribbean ...The projected decrease is more prominent in the early wet season erasing the mid-summer drought feature ...

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Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity

Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity

... Figure 10 shows the end-of-century projections for annual rainfall accumulation, mean daily intensity, the burst factor, and the modified Fournier index. All four fields show overall future increases over most of the ...

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Projected Changes in Semi Permanent Systems of Indian Summer Monsoon in CORDEX SA Framework

Projected Changes in Semi Permanent Systems of Indian Summer Monsoon in CORDEX SA Framework

... Possible changes in the position and the strength of these systems and their role in changing rainfall pat- tern over India are examined to assess the impact of global warming, under the RCP ...uniform ...

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Projected changes in age-related macular degeneration and driving license holders in Finland

Projected changes in age-related macular degeneration and driving license holders in Finland

... Purpose: The aim of the study was to approximate the occurrence of all forms of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) of the retina among the driving license holders aged 80 or more, and to project the changes to ...

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Projected changes to growth and mortality of Hawaiian corals over the next 100 years

Projected changes to growth and mortality of Hawaiian corals over the next 100 years

... definitions, see [11]); and (2) by replacing the model’s existing coral bleaching module with a more process-based module trained by observations of mortality associated with past bleaching events and based on both the ...

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Potential effects of changes in climate and emissions on distribution and fate of perfluorooctane sulfonate in the Bohai Rim, China

Potential effects of changes in climate and emissions on distribution and fate of perfluorooctane sulfonate in the Bohai Rim, China

... 3 Projected changes of PFOS concentrations in fresh water, rural soil, urban soil and coastal water under specific climate change scenario for emission scenario 1... Ratio of projected p[r] ...

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Climate change impacts on flood risk and asset damages within mapped 100-year floodplains of the contiguous United States

Climate change impacts on flood risk and asset damages within mapped 100-year floodplains of the contiguous United States

... hydrologic changes can be detected, concurrent changes in land use and population make it difficult to attribute changing flood dam- ages to climate change ...assessing changes in future flood risk ...

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Effects of regional climate change on brown rust disease in winter wheat

Effects of regional climate change on brown rust disease in winter wheat

... the projected changes in the regional climate conditions in Luxembourg on the development of WLR the statistical relationship describing the evolution of this fungi and the output of the COSMO-CLM model ...

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Quantifying the contribution of glacier runoff to streamflow in the upper Columbia River Basin, Canada

Quantifying the contribution of glacier runoff to streamflow in the upper Columbia River Basin, Canada

... area changes, we compared simulations for the lat- ter part of the test period using the earliest glacier coverage (1985) to contrast with the simulations based on the 2005 coverage (which was used for the latter ...

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Projections of the Incidence of Pharyngeal, Tongue and Parotid Gland Cancer in Western Australia

Projections of the Incidence of Pharyngeal, Tongue and Parotid Gland Cancer in Western Australia

... This study provides estimates of the burden of pharyngeal, tongue and parotid cancer in Western Australia for the period 1982-2009 and presents the projected changes in cases of these specific sites of ...

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Loss of coral reef growth capacity to track future increases in sea level

Loss of coral reef growth capacity to track future increases in sea level

... and fall well below even mean RCP4.5 SLR scenarios (see SI Table 2). Furthermore, reef core studies that might allow some assessment of very recent accretion histories on a site-by-site basis i.e., with a focus on the ...

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Further Development of the Application of Adaptive Model Refinement to Nuclear Reactor Core Simulation

Further Development of the Application of Adaptive Model Refinement to Nuclear Reactor Core Simulation

... The AMoR method is designed to allow transition from a low-fidelity to a high-fidelity simulation and back again. In order for this to work correctly, the low fidelity solution must have sufficient accuracy for the high ...

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Using the UKCP09 probabilistic scenarios to model the amplified impact of climate change on drainage basin sediment yield

Using the UKCP09 probabilistic scenarios to model the amplified impact of climate change on drainage basin sediment yield

... Thirdly, channel based models focus solely on how ero- sion and deposition within channels affects sediment deliv- ery. Channel and upstream sediment inputs are considered, but hillslopes are not explicitly modelled (and ...

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AN INVESTIGATION INTO THE WATER BUDGET AND THE MANAGEMENT OF THE SNAKE RIVER SYSTEM

AN INVESTIGATION INTO THE WATER BUDGET AND THE MANAGEMENT OF THE SNAKE RIVER SYSTEM

... Climate change will impact Snake River in a variety of ways. The results of this research shows that under climate change projections peak streamflow will decrease by 12.5%; the peak streamflow will shift 7-11 days ...

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Introduction to the special issue : historical and projected climatic changes to Australian natural hazards

Introduction to the special issue : historical and projected climatic changes to Australian natural hazards

... There were also more specific suggestions that were unique to each hazard; for example, the need for a more unified framework to identify atmospheric heatwave events (Perkins et al., this issue), and better exploration ...

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Accounting for hydro-climatic and water use variability in the assessment of past and future water balance at the basin scale

Accounting for hydro-climatic and water use variability in the assessment of past and future water balance at the basin scale

... Abstract. This study assesses water stress by 2050 in river basins facing increasing human and climatic pres- sures, by comparing the impacts of various combinations of possible future socio-economic and climate trends. ...

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