vote share
Sparks_unc_0153D_18398.pdf
... Political scientists have long sought to understand the many ways in which money shapes electoral outcomes, with much of that attention directed towards better understanding the connection between campaign spending and ...
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Turkish voter response to government incompetence and corruption related to the 1999 earthquakes
... lagged vote shares of all parties on the right hand sides of each equation, as this will lead to ...the vote share of the CHP either increased or essentially remained the same between 1999 and 2002 ...
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Conclusions: Economic Narratives and Party Leaders
... its vote share after more than two years in office, was due to two principal factors; greater eco- nomic trust invested in the party compared with Labour and, in David Cameron, possession of a leader seen ...
8
Exploring constituency-level estimates for the 2017 British general election
... predicted vote percentage for the relevant party in England and ...predicted vote share the larger the probability of it winning the ...predicted vote share falls below 50 per cent is ...
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Loksabha election 2014: An analysis
... its vote share to ...impressive vote share of ...a vote share of just 31 per cent. The previous lowest vote share for a single party majority was ...
12
Electoral goals and center state transfers : a theoretical model and empirical evidence from India
... that vote for the leading party in the national ...incumbent’s vote share in the state election (Case’s core support measure) and the alignment dummy are positively correlated so that ceteris ...
36
Do private campaing contributions affect electoral results? An examination of Argentine national elections
... the share of private contributions in relation with total contributions, the larger the vote ...the vote share in the previous election and the size of the party affiliate base and other ...
27
Analysis of Vote Shares
... BJP vote shares when they are incumbents and ...INC vote share in each of these constituencies was computed and, then, averaged, first when it was supposed that all the INC candidates in the 2,684 ...
10
The wrath of voters – what they do and do not prioritise at the ballot box; closer look at the impact of skipping votes in the U.S. Senate
... H5: In presidential systems, a negative assessment from voters of the executive branch has a negative effect on the vote share for incumbents from the same party. Voters also remain susceptible to the ...
24
The Partisan Consequences of Turnout Revisited
... Finally, when analyzing the partisan consequences of turnout, controlling for the anti-incumbent effect is crucial. As outlined by Grofman et al (1999), all else equal, higher turnout will be associated with lower ...
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Candidate Competition and Voter Learning in the 2000 2012 US Presidential Primaries
... of vote shares, controlling for other factors through the use of election round fixed effects, decreases with the number of states that voted before a particular ...group vote share variance is ...
34
Smith_unc_0153M_14988.pdf
... Overall, the results presented in this section provide support for the explanation to the central puzzle presented in the previous section. Cloture votes, which represent the rise of a range of new or previously uncommon ...
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2019_Hazerjian.pdf
... of vote share for the Republican Party, and counties with higher levels of high-skilled immigrants are associated with a decline in Republican party vote share (Mayda and Peri, ...
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Vote expectations versus vote intentions : rival forecasting strategies
... the vote share forms a requirement for almost all the forecasting methods used, because these methods count on a two-step process: first estimate the party vote share, then transform that ...
14
The Impact of Presidential Visits on Midterm Gubernatorial Elections
... obtained from Lang, Rottinghaus, and Peters (2011). They used the national approval of the president in September of the midterm election year, as registered by the Gallup Poll. This data I obtained from the question ...
64
2018_Garner.pdf
... a vote takes place to an election, the more likely senators are to vote according to what their constituents would want – and conversely, the further away a vote takes place to an election, the more ...
36
WMUR / FOX News Tracking Poll 1/31/2000, UNH Survey Center
... will vote in the Republican ...will vote for McCain, 20% will vote for Bush, 14% will vote for Forbes, 8% will vote for Keyes, 1% will vote for some other candidate, and 2% are ...
14
WMUR / FOX News Tracking Poll 1/27/2000, UNH Survey Center
... to vote may be as important as who they choose to vote ...to vote in the Republican primary than in the Democratic ...to vote in the Republican primary and 38% say they plan to vote in ...
12
Winning the crowd vote
... Approaches to peer assessment in undergraduate popular music performance... Sheffield Hallam University.[r] ...
21
Sanders Maintains NH Lead, Clinton Seen As Winner, Most Voters Not Convinced Yet 12/9/15, UNH Survey Center
... NOT vote for under any circumstance, 15% of likely Democratic primary voters would not vote for Clinton, 11% would not vote for O’Malley, 5% would not vote for Sanders, 50% think that all of ...
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