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Conditional autoregressive and relative risk models

Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) Models: A Review

Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) Models: A Review

... The models that have been considered so far are symmetric in that only the magnitude and not the positivity or negativity of innovations determines  t 2 ...of models, in which good news and bad news have ...

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Detecting Misspecifications in Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models

Detecting Misspecifications in Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models

... time-varying conditional dispersion and higher order conditional moments of unknown ...testing conditional expected duration models, because it can capture serial dependence not only in the ...

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Estimating value at risk for sukuk market using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models

Estimating value at risk for sukuk market using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models

... ABSTRACT Islamic Finance has experienced unsurpassed growth over the past ten years. A major reason for this accelerated growth is the wide issuance of Sukuk. The structure of Sukuk are akin to conventional bonds and ...

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Bayesian estimation in generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models

Bayesian estimation in generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models

... Computation advances at the end of the twentieth century, allowed researchers in economy and finance to analyse the financial market behaviour under new per- spectives. The new paradigm was based in a non-linear ...

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CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles

CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles

... of risk. This allows managers to allocate risk in a more efficient ...the risk takers on a risk/return basis. Rewarding risk takers only on a return basis can bias their behavior toward ...

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Buffered autoregressive models with conditional heteroscedasticity: An application to exchange rates

Buffered autoregressive models with conditional heteroscedasticity: An application to exchange rates

... † The smaller value of LLF (AIC, BIC, or AICc), the better fitted model. ‡ The p-values the test statistic LR 3 n . 6. C ONCLUDING REMARKS This paper proposes a new BAR-GARCH model, which captures the buffering ...

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Intraday Value-at-Risk: An asymmetric autoregressive conditional duration approach

Intraday Value-at-Risk: An asymmetric autoregressive conditional duration approach

... The IVaR over a given intraday time interval is then computed by simulation using the estimated AACD model. 2 There are some important advantages of our approach over current methods in the literature. First, we employ ...

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Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models and the Dynamic Structure of the Athens Stock Exchange

Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models and the Dynamic Structure of the Athens Stock Exchange

... 1999. The ARCH model fits well to Greek Stock Market data and provides empirical evidence on theoretical regularities. Some of the conclusion are: the existence of a positive (non-linear) trade-off between stock returns ...

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Evaluating the Forecast Performance of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) Family Models

Evaluating the Forecast Performance of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) Family Models

... family models used in the ...among autoregressive moving average (ARMA), Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH), Generalized Autoregressive conditional ...

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Periodic autoregressive conditional duration

Periodic autoregressive conditional duration

... through models that take into account the actual support of their ...linear models (GLM) for independent data (McCullag and Nelder, ...ries models with “specific values” have, recently, received ...

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Conditional autoregressive valu at risk by regression quantile: Estimatingmarket risk for major stock markets

Conditional autoregressive valu at risk by regression quantile: Estimatingmarket risk for major stock markets

... market risk in several major equity markets, as well as for major companies listed in New York Stock Exchange and Athens Stock ...values conditional on current information, Engle and Manganelli (2004) ...

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On estimation of autoregressive conditional duration
(ACD) models based on different error distributions

On estimation of autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models based on different error distributions

... For the Exponential ACD (EACD) case EACD(l, 1), EACD(2, J), EACD(l, 2) and EACD(2, 2) have been studied and the corresponding estimating results have been reported in Tables 1 to 4. It s[r] ...

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Modelling the Density of Inflation Using Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Skewness, and Kurtosis Models

Modelling the Density of Inflation Using Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Skewness, and Kurtosis Models

... distorts relative prices and increases risk in nominal contracts (Berument, Metin-Ozcan, and Neyapti, ...follows Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) process ...variances ...

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Autoregressive Models

Autoregressive Models

... spatial autoregressive (AR-2D) models with three ...AR-2D models which depends on the number of parameters in the model, has been studied for those models containing at most two ...the ...

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Sparse relative risk regression models

Sparse relative risk regression models

... survival models have been proposed to deal with such ...in relative risk regression ...data; Relative risk regression models; Sparsity; Survival ...

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Sparse relative risk regression models

Sparse relative risk regression models

... Summary Clinical studies where patients are routinely screened for many genomic features are becoming more routine. In principle, this holds the promise of being able to find genomic signatures for a particular disease. ...

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Functional generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity

Functional generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity

... these models may not be suitable for modeling now prevalent high-frequency volatility ...generalized autoregressive condition- ally heteroskedastic process, termed ...

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lCARE – localizing Conditional AutoRegressive Expectiles

lCARE – localizing Conditional AutoRegressive Expectiles

... the conditional expectile based value at risk (EVaR) ...at Risk (QVaR), nevertheless, by fitting the models over relatively long ad-hoc fixed time intervals, research ignores the potential ...

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Functional generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity

Functional generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity

... these models may not be suitable for modeling now prevalent high-frequency volatility ...generalized autoregressive condition- ally heteroskedastic process, termed ...

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Application of Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk Model to Kenyan Stocks: A Comparative Study

Application of Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk Model to Kenyan Stocks: A Comparative Study

... at Risk (VaR) became the industry accepted measure for risk by financial institutions and their regulators after the Basel I Accords agreement of ...VaR models used to carry out risk ...

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