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ARCH models

Assessing the Performance of a Prediction Error Criterion Model Selection Algorithm in the Context of ARCH Models

Assessing the Performance of a Prediction Error Criterion Model Selection Algorithm in the Context of ARCH Models

... the models that are considered as having a “better” ability to predict future volatility of the dependent variable, are those with the lowest sum of squared standardized one-step-ahead prediction ...candidate ...

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Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) Models: A Review

Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) Models: A Review

... multivariate ARCH models are presented and their estimation is ...used ARCH models are described with emphasis on their practical ...the models, which is very ...in ARCH type ...

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Predictability and Model Selection in the Context of ARCH Models

Predictability and Model Selection in the Context of ARCH Models

... regime ARCH models introduced by Cai (1994) and Hamilton and Susmel (1994) and extended by several authors such as Dueker (1997) and Hansen ...these models allow the parameters of a specific ...

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Stationarity and geometric ergodicity of a class of nonlinear ARCH models

Stationarity and geometric ergodicity of a class of nonlinear ARCH models

... A class of nonlinear ARCH processes is introduced and studied. The existence of a strictly stationary and β-mixing solution is es- tablished under a mild assumption on the density of the underlying independent ...

18

SPEC Model Selection Algorithm for ARCH Models: an Options Pricing Evaluation Framework

SPEC Model Selection Algorithm for ARCH Models: an Options Pricing Evaluation Framework

... the ARCH model that generates better volatility predictions with a number of statistical evaluation ...the ARCH models into the Black and Scholes (BS) option pricing ...the ARCH models ...

10

Strict stationarity testing and estimation of explosive ARCH models

Strict stationarity testing and estimation of explosive ARCH models

... of ARCH(1) models without strict stationarity constraints, and considers applications to testing prob- ...the ARCH coefficient is obtained at the boundary of the stationarity region, but this ...

40

Auto dependence structure of arch models: tail dependence coefficients

Auto dependence structure of arch models: tail dependence coefficients

... linear models, but is less suitable for non-linear models or for more general classes of multi-variate distributions, we ar- gue that autocorrelations, while adequate for linear processes, should, for ...

26

ARCH models for multi period forecast uncertainty a reality check using a panel of density forecasts

ARCH models for multi period forecast uncertainty a reality check using a panel of density forecasts

... series models in forecasting inflation while during a period of low and stable inflation, the latter does ...on ARCH-type models are functions of forecast errors, it is not surprising to find that ...

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Strict stationarity testing and estimation of explosive ARCH models

Strict stationarity testing and estimation of explosive ARCH models

... of ARCH(1) models without strict stationarity constraints, and considers applications to testing prob- ...the ARCH coefficient is obtained at the boundary of the stationarity region, but this ...

40

Tail risk in pension funds: An analysis using ARCH models and bilinear processes

Tail risk in pension funds: An analysis using ARCH models and bilinear processes

... Abstract Pension funding rules and practice contain implicit smoothing and counter-cyclical mech- anisms. We set up a stylized model to investigate whether this may give rise to tail risk, in the form of large but rare ...

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Partial Functional Linear Models with ARCH Errors

Partial Functional Linear Models with ARCH Errors

... popular models which can show the heteroscedasticity in econometrics is the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model which was introduced by [11] and have had an enormous impact on the ...

17

Modelling and Estimation of Volatility Using ARCH/GARCH Models in Jordan’s Stock Market

Modelling and Estimation of Volatility Using ARCH/GARCH Models in Jordan’s Stock Market

... both ARCH and GARCH models that were proposed by Engle (1982) and Bollerslev (1986) respectively, can capture simultaneously volatility clustering and ...extended ARCH models by using ...

16

Evaluating the Forecast Performance of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) Family Models

Evaluating the Forecast Performance of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) Family Models

... Regression Models provide the best ...both ARCH-type models and non-ARCH models applied to 14 different ...GARCH models, GJR-GARCH and EGARCH outperforms other ARCH ...

7

Rolling sampled parameters of ARCH and Levy stable models

Rolling sampled parameters of ARCH and Levy stable models

... for ARCH volatility modeling is the uncontested proof of the contribution of ARCH models in time series and econometric modelling (Diebold ...applied ARCH models to predict future ...

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Comparison of Commercially Available Arch Wires with Normal Dental Arch in a Group of Iranian Population

Comparison of Commercially Available Arch Wires with Normal Dental Arch in a Group of Iranian Population

... Therefore arch wires should be selected according to the related population’s arch size and arch ...preformed arch wires were larger than the average den- tal arch widths in almost ...

7

Modification in aortic arch replacement surgery

Modification in aortic arch replacement surgery

... Results: Arch replacement surgery could generally be completed within approximately 4 ...or arch aneurysm treatment, only four anastomoses were required during the first stage of operation: two in the ...

5

The morphology and clinical importance of the axillary arch

The morphology and clinical importance of the axillary arch

... axillary arch is the main variation of the axillary ...axillary arch, essential for the safe and successful develo- pment of surgical procedures in the axillary ...

6

Right-sided aortic arch

Right-sided aortic arch

... right arch also disappears, then the right brachiocephalic trunk leaves the aortic arch as the last branch and runs beyond the ...aortic arch from the left side to the right and a right-sided ...

6

Chinook arch over Calgary

Chinook arch over Calgary

... Ischemic stroke recurred in 5 (42%) of 12 patients with multiple risk factors and in 3 (8%) of 39 patients with a single or no identified risk factor.. This differ- ence was statisticall[r] ...

18

Form finding of arch structures

Form finding of arch structures

... The application of the form-finding process in architecture was done by Otto and Rasch (1995) in the second half of the 20 th century. Otto is well-known because of his lightweight tensile and membrane structures. As he ...

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