Economic Forecasting
Economic Forecasting: Challenges and Neural Network Solutions
... Macroeconomic forecasting is a very difficult task due to the lack of an accurate, convincing model of the ...for economic forecasting, “black box” time series models, assume little about the ...
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Regional economic forecasting: state-of-the-art methodology and future challenges
... regional economic forecasting literature may be able to improve forecasting performance by simply applying models that are designed for different cross section and time dimension ...
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The role of component wise boosting for regional economic forecasting
... Abstract. This paper applies component-wise boosting to the topic of regional economic forecasting. By using unique quarterly gross domestic product data for one German state for the period from 1996 to ...
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Official Economic Forecasting: the Relevance of the Canadian Experience for Transitional Economies
... about economic forecasting from the experience of industrialized countries such as ...official economic forecasting as it is currently practised in Canada is provided in t his ...based ...
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A Monetary Conditions Index and its Application on Tunisian Economic Forecasting
... For this reason, our objective in this paper is to find out the extent of the influence of variables representing the internal and external monetary conditions i.e. the domestic interest rate, the external interest rate ...
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Essays on economic forecasting using machine learning
... Our contribution is strongly connected to a more general issue in (fnancial) econometrics on what is the appropriate objective (loss) function in economet- ric inference: See general discussion and arguments for much ...
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Short Term Economic Forecasting and its Application in Ireland
... National Product and Expenditure12 The sum total of the preceding discussion clearly indicates a further improvement in the performance of the Irish economy¯ It appears that I96r, too, X[r] ...
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Economic forecasting in a changing world
... widely-used forecasting models, such as regres- sions, dynamic systems, vector autoregressions (VARs), dynamic-stochastic general equilibrium models (DSGEs), vector equilibrium-correction models (VEqCMs: see ...
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Use of Sales Tax Information for Economic Forecasting Mike Erwin
... • These reports are created for local sales taxing jurisdic4ons (city, county, transit authority or special purpose district) to use for economic forecas4ng. They show actual local sales and use tax alloca4on ...
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Short term economic forecasting
... Following consideration of the projections by the conference a final version will be prepared for the NIEC The customary pre-budgetaiy consultations with independent economists and forec[r] ...
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The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting
... BVAR Bayesian vector autoregressive model with six lags for each of seven variables (annual growth rates of real GNP and IPD; the unemployment rate; lagged levels of the money supply Ml [r] ...
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Techniques for short term economic forecasting
... Assuming correct specification and exogenous variable assumptions, structural econometric models should produce more accurate forecasts than multivariate time series methods.. This arise[r] ...
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Trends in short term macro economic forecasting for demand management
... Standard Deviations of Monthly Estimates from Annual Outturn in Percentage Changes from Merchandise Exports, Merchandise Imports and the Retail Sales Index, Produced by Reference to the [r] ...
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Economic Forecasting Based on the Relationship between GDP and Real Money Supply
... Let us compare the actual result with the forecast. In December 2015, the oil prices fell down to 40 US dollars/barrel, annual average prices (2015) made up 54 US dollars/barrel. That is, they proved to be lower than the ...
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Scenarios of economic development in Romania medium to long term forecasting models
... of Economic Policy through Think Tank Partnership”, held in Bucharest, Romania, on October 27-29, 2003, and is part of a grant by the ...of Economic Forecasting (Romania) and the Center for ...
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Incorporating uncertainties into economic forecasts: an application to forecasting economic activity in Croatia
... economic forecasting. Basically, the authors notice that in the forecasting context, the methods for forecasting models and procedures might not be the only source of failures, which might ...
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Forecasting Economic Aggregates Using Dynamic Component Grouping
... disaggregate forecasting while still allowing for distinct disaggregate dynamics to be picked up in the ...traditional economic forecasting ...
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Essays on economic time series forecasting
... Economic forecasting is usually understood as producing estimates about the expected future development of some variable of interest using information that is currently ...some economic quantities as ...
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The Dynamics of Economic Functions: Modelling and Forecasting the Yield Curve
... and forecasting time series of economic ...smooth economic function (or ‘signal’) is a natural cubic spline whose dynamic evolution is driven by a cointegrated VAR for the ordinates (‘y-values’) at ...
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A forecasting model of the economic efficiency of data centre construction project
... Today, a data centre is the main instrument for providing flexible, scalable IT services to business on the basis of distributed or cloud computing technologies. Building a data centre is always expensive and ...
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