[PDF] Top 20 Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2019

... larger economic loss relative to the rest of the world as a result of Brexit, it may be the case that some of the FDI projects would actually leave the EU, as the EU’s market potential is reduced by comparatively ... See full document

... It should be noted that raising incomes for all households is only one channel through which risks would be mitigated. Often households that go into arrears would suffer catastrophic economic circumstances such as ... See full document

... larger economic loss relative to the rest of the world as a result of Brexit, it may be the case that some of the FDI projects would actually leave the EU, as the EU’s market potential is reduced by comparatively ... See full document

... The Commentary is edited by Kieran McQuinn and David Duffy. Kieran McQuinn is an Associate Research Professor, David Duffy is a Senior Research Officer, and Ciara Morley and Daniel Foley are Research Assistants at ... See full document

... The wave of poor outcomes and indicators have led us to cut our forecast for 2009, from - 4.6 per cent in our Winter Commentary to -9.2 per cent (on a GNP basis). For 2010, we expect to see a moderation in the ... See full document

... In addition to direct tax reforms, Budget 2019 announced a number of indirect tax changes, mostly increases. Foremost among these was a rise in the rate of VAT levied on most goods currently subject to second ... See full document

... Budget 2019 should be a ‘holding budget’ and should, therefore, look to neither inflate nor delate the ...March 2019 the economy could be confronted by a highly adverse economic ...current ... See full document

... last Commentary, in the immediate aftermath of Budget 2010, the overall management of the public finances can be viewed in positive ...real economic benefit in addition to avoiding lost output through work ... See full document

... The initial QEC forecasts show much the same cumulative growth as the NIE preliminary estimates, with overestimation in the earlier years being offset by a failure to predict the strong [r] ... See full document

... We show that households with lower income levels consume a higher share of products that would be most affected by increases in tariffs and trade cost and the overall effect is inversely[r] ... See full document

... Quarterly data Dependent variable is change in Irish unemployment thousands UK data is short-term unemployed in millions 'Lagged' data are lagged four quarters Series are adjusted for ch[r] ... See full document

... Among the main categories of industry, total exports account for over half of gross output in all three categories, with net domestic disposals accounting for a tiny 2 Y2 per cent of gro[r] ... See full document

... strong economic case for differentiated, higher rates of taxation is goods whose consumption generate negative effects, or externalities, on ...Budget 2019 announced increases in the duties levied on ... See full document

... By providing a more accurate picture of the incidence of different family types, this research lets policymakers know who is affected by policies that differentiate between family structures. It also raises two specific ... See full document

... A key feature of the improved economic performance of the economy has been the strength of the tax take throughout 2014. The end-year Exchequer returns show that the public finances performed well in 2014, in line ... See full document

... The analysis in the accompanying research note (FitzGerald, this issue) suggests a somewhat different performance by the Irish economy in recent years than has been previously estimated. This is the result of a number of ... See full document

... The Quarterly National Household Survey shows the unemployment rate for this age group at 15 per cent for the fourth quarter of 2013, while annual employment growth has been negative since the second quarter of ... See full document

... Strong public investment and an improvement in Japan’s trade balance resulted in real GDP growth of 2.1 per cent in Q1 2019, year-on-year. Similarl to developments among other strong global players, overall trade ... See full document

... in 2019 suggest the Irish economy will grow at a significant rate for the seventh year in a row, indicating that in terms of the headline variables, the economy will have recovered from the post- 2007/2008 ... See full document

... Figure 10 graphs the exchange rate of the euro (EUR) to the US dollar (USD), the British pound sterling (GBP), the Swiss franc (CHF) and the Chinese renminbi (CNY). These are the currencies of Ireland’s largest trading ... See full document