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Bayesian model selection

Bayesian Model Selection and Forecasting in Noncausal Autoregressive Models

Bayesian Model Selection and Forecasting in Noncausal Autoregressive Models

... our Bayesian model selection procedure to that of Lanne and Saikkonen ...the model suggested by the maximized likelihood criterion, but we ignore this step as it is difficult to incorporate ...

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Bayesian model selection for the glacial interglacial cycle

Bayesian model selection for the glacial interglacial cycle

... attempted model selection experiments for the GIG cycle, but with various limitations compared to our ...one model over any other. Feng and Bailer-Jones (2015) used Bayesian model ...

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Bayesian model selection for the glacial-interglacial cycle

Bayesian model selection for the glacial-interglacial cycle

... attempted model selection experiments for the GIG cycle, but with various limitations compared to our ...one model over any other. Feng and Bailer-Jones (2015) used Bayesian model ...

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Effects of Bayesian Model Selection on Frequentist Performances: An Alternative Approach

Effects of Bayesian Model Selection on Frequentist Performances: An Alternative Approach

... a model and make inference as if the model had been known in advance; ...ignoring model selection ...post-model selection estimator (PMSE) whose properties are hard to ...case), ...

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Bayesian Model Selection And Estimation Without Mcmc

Bayesian Model Selection And Estimation Without Mcmc

... explores Bayesian model selection and estimation in settings where the model space is too vast to rely on Markov Chain Monte Carlo for posterior ...adaptive Bayesian penalty mixing. In ...

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Efficient and context dependent Bayesian model selection

Efficient and context dependent Bayesian model selection

... for model training and validation introduce bias into the assessment, and secondly the extent to which the power of the assessment is reduced by assessing performance on models conditioned on an incomplete sample ...

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Adaptive surrogate modeling for response surface approximations with application to bayesian inference

Adaptive surrogate modeling for response surface approximations with application to bayesian inference

... using Bayesian inference is usually a very costly process as it requires a large number of solves of the forward ...reduced model with respect to the observables utilized in the identification of the ...

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Bayesian structural inference with applications in social science

Bayesian structural inference with applications in social science

... Bayesian model selection offers an alternative approach (detailed in the next sec- ...factors. Bayesian model selection and penalised likelihood methods are closely related: the ...

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Bayesian MAP model selection of chain event graphs

Bayesian MAP model selection of chain event graphs

... possible model, the sample space of the problem must be consistent with a single event tree, but where on the basis of a sample of students’ records we want to select one of a number of different possible CEG ...

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MACS - a new SPM toolbox for model assessment, comparison and selection

MACS - a new SPM toolbox for model assessment, comparison and selection

... for model quality in GLMs for fMRI include statistical tests for goodness of fit (Razavi et ...or Bayesian information criterion for activation detection (Seghouane and Ong, 2010) or theory selec- tion ...

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Automatic PCA Dimension Selection for High Dimensional Data and Small Sample Sizes

Automatic PCA Dimension Selection for High Dimensional Data and Small Sample Sizes

... of Bayesian formulations of PCA have followed from the probabilistic formulation of Tipping and Bishop (1999a), with the necessary marginalization being approximated through both Laplace approximations (Bishop, ...

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Asymptotic Model Selection for Naive Bayesian Networks

Asymptotic Model Selection for Naive Bayesian Networks

... for Bayesian model selection among Bayesian networks with hidden ...naive Bayesian model; it complements the main result presented by Theorem ...

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Model selection on solid ground: Rigorous comparison of nine ways to evaluate Bayesian model evidence

Model selection on solid ground: Rigorous comparison of nine ways to evaluate Bayesian model evidence

... the Bayesian information criterion or Schwarz’ information crite- rion (BIC) [Schwarz, 1978; Raftery, ...posterior model weights or even in the ranking of the models [Poeter and Anderson, 2005; Ye et ...

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Bayesian inference and model selection for partially observed stochastic epidemics

Bayesian inference and model selection for partially observed stochastic epidemics

... SIS model for the spread dynamics of an infectious disease among a population of individuals partitioned into house- ...Markov model, that naturally accounts for partially observed data and imperfect test ...

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Stochastic Models for Horizontal Gene Transfer

Stochastic Models for Horizontal Gene Transfer

... analyzed, Bayesian model selection finds support for (1) the SPR model over the alternative form, (2) the 16S rRNA reconstruction as the most likely species tree, and (3) increased HGT of ...

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Anomaly Detection by Naive Bayes & RBF Network

Anomaly Detection by Naive Bayes & RBF Network

... In Bayesian classification, we have a hypothesis that the given data belongs to a particular ...a Bayesian network is used to model a domain containing uncertainty {12, 13] & evolutionary ...

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Integrating biological knowledge into variable selection : an empirical Bayes approach with an application in cancer biology

Integrating biological knowledge into variable selection : an empirical Bayes approach with an application in cancer biology

... data-generating model without interaction ...linear model without interaction terms; Y = A + 2B + 3C + , where A, B, C are the three influential ...data-generating model has a different magnitude of ...

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Model Selection in Bayesian Neural Networks via Horseshoe Priors

Model Selection in Bayesian Neural Networks via Horseshoe Priors

... in Bayesian neural net- works. However, model selection—even choosing the number of nodes—remains an open ...for model selection in Bayesian neural ...the model selec- ...

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Bayesian Portfolio Selection in a Markov Switching Gaussian Mixture Model

Bayesian Portfolio Selection in a Markov Switching Gaussian Mixture Model

... the Bayesian residual test. We first fit the MSGM model with one regime and one state, which is effectively a model of multivariate normal ...

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Has the Volatility of U S  Inflation Changed and How?

Has the Volatility of U S Inflation Changed and How?

... level model with stochastic volatility, document that inflation is less volatile now than it was in the 1970s and early 1980s; moreover, persistence, which measure the long run effect of a shock, has declined, and ...

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