[PDF] Top 20 Propagating and mitigating uncertainty in the design of complex multidisciplinary systems

... of uncertainty with PRA for design is based on a combination of statistical data from past experiences with systems similar to the one being designed, interpretations of test results, and expert ... See full document

... Here θ ∗ represents the true uncertainty model after all epistemic uncertainty has been removed. The subset of the epistemic space that appears after new information is available is the reduced epistemic ... See full document

... of complex built- up structures or the electromagnetic wave field inside a complex cavity – have in common that they are typically driven by complex, that is, spatially extended but finite, ... See full document

... based design tools continue to be advanced at unprecedented rates, little attention has been paid to how these tools interact with other advanced design tools and how that interaction influences the ... See full document

... is multidisciplinary by nature, finding a solution to it requires that technical and managerial processes are executed as one ...mitigate uncertainty and improve learning while understanding that future ... See full document

... using multidisciplinary feasible solutions of the cou- pling variables and are iteratively refined using adaptive sampling based on an information-gain metric and a residual-error ...of uncertainty propa- ... See full document

... of design variables such as orbital parameters or power subsystem ...These design variables are derived from engineering expertise and experience and organized by means of Quality Function Deployment ... See full document

... the design parameters or operating ...robust multidisciplinary design optimisation when there is uncertainty in the operating ...an uncertainty analysis ... See full document

... more complex than standard aircraft and usually weight ...conceptual design should assess the obtained results comparing them to the data of an existing ...the design of traditional aircraft, while ... See full document

... The tier 3 table shows that the designs along that plateau are similar in performance like the tier 2 rockets. The two tables and Pareto frontier plot show that these plateaus of mean value exist because certain designs ... See full document

... the so-called steel purity as well the influence of the heat treatment process. 3.2 MANUFACTURING PROCESSES In modern manufacturing, productivity is related to important factors that define the quality and cost of the ... See full document

... script; uncertainty; identity theft ...a complex activity encountered in the production and maintenance of any system comprising valuable ...system design, through implementation and ... See full document

... to design the active controller for the nonlinear uncertain active suspension ...suspension systems, we can apply the Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy approach to handle the uncertainty since T-S fuzzy ... See full document

... for Multidisciplinary Design Optimization in Conceptual Design Phase: Overall Aircraft design and optimization complexity is increasing with stringent environment requirements and demand for ... See full document

... • The input distribution with the smaller variance is weighted more heavily than inputs with larger variances. Information fusion may not always provide adequate improvement in the quantity of interest uncertainty ... See full document

... the uncertainty of the predic- tions for document classification task, we propose a neural-network-based model augmented with dropout-entropy uncertainty measurement and in- corporating metric learning in ... See full document

... forecasting method. Obviously, to design a forecasting model, load history is needed. A large portion of the electricity is being used by the heating and cooling sys- tems in the winter and summer times. ... See full document

... a multidisciplinary aircraft model was ...of uncertainty, the introduction of additional model-form ...pass uncertainty information from one discipline to the ...interdisciplinary uncertainty ... See full document

... methods to a wider range of circuits for different forms of circuit partition.. Bernardo, Robert Buck, Lishin Liu, William A Nazaret, Jerome Sacks, and William J Welch. [r] ... See full document

... a complex system, to establish whether these systems possess a core-periphery structure, and to measure important elements of these ...real-world systems, to serve as a point of departure for future ... See full document