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Bayesian state-space models (SSMs)

Assessing performance of Bayesian state space models fit to Argos Satellite telemetry locations processed with Kalman Filtering

Assessing performance of Bayesian state space models fit to Argos Satellite telemetry locations processed with Kalman Filtering

... of state-space methods to model animal movement ...two Bayesian state-space models (SSMs) fitted to satellite tracking data processed with KF ...from SSMs fitted to ...

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Auxiliary likelihood based approximate Bayesian computation in state space models

Auxiliary likelihood based approximate Bayesian computation in state space models

... in SSMs for which exact methods are essentially ...the Bayesian consistency of the resultant ABC posterior and, hence, the baseline accuracy of the inferences produced via this ...

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MFBO-SSM: Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization for Fast Inference in State-Space Models

MFBO-SSM: Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization for Fast Inference in State-Space Models

... in SSMs with in- tractable likelihood functions (Dahlin, Schon, and Vil- lani 2015; Dahlin and Lindsten ...apply Bayesian optimization techniques for efficient exploration of the maximum of the ...

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Bayesian Inference of State Space Models with Flexible Covariance Matrix Rank: Applications for Inflation Modeling

Bayesian Inference of State Space Models with Flexible Covariance Matrix Rank: Applications for Inflation Modeling

... RSOE models generate smoother measures of trend inflation, which is often perceived as a desirable feature for policy ...for state space models in Chan and Jeliazkov ...

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A Bayesian robust Kalman smoothing framework for state space models with uncertain noise statistics

A Bayesian robust Kalman smoothing framework for state space models with uncertain noise statistics

... a Bayesian robustness setting, the prior (posterior) distribution is on the model of the underlying random process, meaning that it refers directly to our scien- tific ...the Bayesian robust ...

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Bayesian Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

Bayesian Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

... Another issue that arises in application of the Rust random grid method is that the method assumes that the transition density function f (s |s a θ) is not degenerate. That is, we cannot use the random grid algorithm if ...

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Fast sequential parameter inference for dynamic state space models

Fast sequential parameter inference for dynamic state space models

... general state-space models are examples of such inference ...dynamic state-space models approach. Such models are very well suited for providing a solution to the spectrum ...

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Variational algorithms for approximate Bayesian inference

Variational algorithms for approximate Bayesian inference

... other models, for example the Hidden Markov Model of chapter 3, as some subparts of the parameter-to-natural parameter mapping are ...the Bayesian integral for the marginal likelihood of a sequence of data ...

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Bayesian and Frequentist Approach to Time Series Forecasting with Application to Kenya’s GDP per Capita

Bayesian and Frequentist Approach to Time Series Forecasting with Application to Kenya’s GDP per Capita

... of models can be used for prediction; each has its own characteristics, advantages and ...the Bayesian (State space model) approaches were ...

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Unifying Bayesian Inference and Vector Space Models for Improved Decipherment

Unifying Bayesian Inference and Vector Space Models for Improved Decipherment

... We introduce into Bayesian decipherment a base distribution derived from similari- ties of word embeddings. We use Dirich- let multinomial regression (Mimno and McCallum, 2012) to learn a mapping be- tween ...

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Multiplicative State Space Models for Intermittent Time Series

Multiplicative State Space Models for Intermittent Time Series

... statistical models, which limits their ...general state-space model that takes intermittence of data into account, extending the taxonomy of exponential smoothing ...non-intermittent state ...

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Using features of models to improve state space exploration

Using features of models to improve state space exploration

... analyze models specified in various languages by various analysis ...implicit state space definition of a model and is used to exchange information between the different modules in LTSmin ...initial ...

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Initial Values in Estimation Procedures for State Space Models (SSMs)

Initial Values in Estimation Procedures for State Space Models (SSMs)

... it to approximate the likelihood of a time series model for count data. To overcome the complex likelihoods of a time series model with count data, Chan and Ledolter [10] proposed the Monte Carlo EM algorithm that uses a ...

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Stochastic Gradient MCMC for Nonlinear State Space Models

Stochastic Gradient MCMC for Nonlinear State Space Models

... nonlinear SSMs does not scale well to long sequences: (i) the cost of each pass through the data scales linearly with the length of the sequence, and (ii) the number of particles (and hence the computation per ...

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Comparison of Bayesian Discriminative and Generative Models for Dialogue State Tracking

Comparison of Bayesian Discriminative and Generative Models for Dialogue State Tracking

... dialogue state tracking models competing in the 2012 Dialogue State Tracking Challenge ...dialogue state tracker which di- rectly estimates slot-level beliefs using de- terministic ...

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Ontological evaluation of business models: comparing traditional and component-based paradigms in information systems re-engineering

Ontological evaluation of business models: comparing traditional and component-based paradigms in information systems re-engineering

... particular models have been used since the early times of computers and were considered, for the most part, the documentation of legacy systems (Longworth, ...

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A Survey of Information Retrieval Models for Malayalam Language Processing

A Survey of Information Retrieval Models for Malayalam Language Processing

... Neural network models are a simplified graph representation of interconnected neurons in the human brain. The nodes in the graph are processing units and edges play the role of synaptic connections and a weight is ...

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Linear State-Space Models for Blind Source Separation

Linear State-Space Models for Blind Source Separation

... Convolutive Independent Component Analysis (C-ICA) is a class of BSS methods for (1) where the source estimates are produced by computing the ‘unmixing’ transformation that restores statis- tical independence. Often, an ...

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Efficient State-Space Inference of Periodic Latent Force Models

Efficient State-Space Inference of Periodic Latent Force Models

... current state-space approach to inference with LFMs (Har- tikainen and S¨ arkk¨ a, 2010) and show how some covariance functions can be represented exactly in ...the state-space ...efficient ...

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Monte Carlo fixed-lag smoothing in state-space models

Monte Carlo fixed-lag smoothing in state-space models

... system state distribution knowing past and present ...future state of a system characterizing atmospheric or oceanographic ...the state distribution using past and fu- ture observations, and this ...

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