[PDF] Top 20 Volume 9 - Article 10 | Pages 223–262

... The Coale-McNeil (CM) nuptiality model is a mathematical expression of regularity in age patterns of first marriage. It is a standard demographic tool for the estimation and projection of age schedules of first marriage ... See full document

... However, it is better to estimate models for first, second and third births simultaneously, with a common unobserved factor. The idea was briefly explained in the Introduction, but some elaboration may be needed. Note ... See full document

... up 10 percentage points to the figures published with the 1990 definition, which would make China 50% urban by the year 2030 according to our projection trends (instead of 40% using the 1990 ... See full document

... to 10 (totally ...situation; 9) free time (amount); 10) home; 11) neighbourhood; 12) feeling of belonging to the local community; 13) feeling safe; 14) health; 15) relationship with their partner; ... See full document

... According to the Canada Labour Code, 8 hours in a day and 40 hours in a week are considered the standard hours of work, with a maximum of 48 hours that employees may work in a week, and the typical regular schedule is ... See full document

... Specification of kinship ties between children and their surrounding family makes it possible to adopt different perspectives. The three typologies proposed highlight the nuclear family, classificatory kin, and ... See full document

... Survey (ESS MD) available at: http://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/data/multilevel/ (last accessed on July 10, 2015; ESS ERIC 2016; Rydland, Arnesen, and Østensen 2007). This database has goals similar to those of ... See full document

... The proportion with no children clearly increases with educational level (Figure 5). Among women born in 1954-1958, 19 per cent in the highest educational group and 9 per cent in the lowest educational group were ... See full document

... As discussed in connection with education, the division of household work is an important aspect of gender equality which has been shown to influence fertility. In my analysis based on data extracted from the Hungarian ... See full document

... We estimated the completed cohort proportion women who ever married by extrap- olating the observed experience of cohorts using the Coale-McNeil model (Coale and McNeil, 1972) [Note 10]. This model has often been ... See full document

... The article begins by providing general information about 22 surveillance sites from Africa and Asia, with sizes of monitored populations varying from around 8 to 215 ... See full document

... The success of our method in forecasting incomplete cohort fertility might lead us to make a bold suggestion that future research along these lines purely and simply focus on the projection of quantum. In this paper we ... See full document

... In many countries population estimates are unreliable at higher ages. In this article a method for producing an independent estimate of population aged 90+ from data on deaths and population estimates at lower ... See full document

... To conclude, a woman in 1997 has a second-birth rate different from that of a woman in 1977 for two main reasons: First, she is likely to have a higher age, because she as a young adult [r] ... See full document

... Further, among the possible combinations of factors, the combination of short fitting period, no adjustment of kt and fitted jump-off rates produced the smallest errors in log death rate[r] ... See full document

... Unlike deprivation proxies for need that are often used in health care resourcing the outputs from spatial life tables form a direct rather than proxy measure of morbidity (Newbold et al[r] ... See full document

... Vital Statistics and Census data and age-period-cohort models to examine whether cohort fertility patterns are associated with breast cancer mortality rates among wo[r] ... See full document

... Figure 4 shows the cross-sectional associations between the national levels of M and G in five successive Latin American cohorts and a recent European cohort. It is clear from the figure that the association between ... See full document

... In these Swedish data, the entropy measure g (for ages above 30) is close to 9 back to about 1945, a level reached after a gradual long-term drop from Nineteenth Century values around 13. The gradual changes in g ... See full document

... Most studies find that, within a decade after their arrival, migrants’ fertility rates decline to the level close to fertility rates among native women (Schoorl 1995; Toulemon and Mazuy 2004). Furthermore, over time ... See full document